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Kelso

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Stay For The After Party 'national Hunt' Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
12h 51min
Jumps race · low hurdles About 2 miles Good ground Standard race 6 runners £5,446 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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£1 wins £1.25 · 41 Very strong chance
6 runners today is a good number for this horse
Debut
41
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 5/4
£1 wins £1.25 · 41 Very strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.25 back.

How odds work
✓ Field size ✓ Trainer wins at this course ✓ Weight vs field
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • A 15.8% win rate at this course for L. Russell & Michael Scudamore. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Making their racecourse debut at age 5 is highly unusual and leaves you with nothing concrete to judge—this is a complete unknown quantity stepping out for the first time. The market has backed them in from 1/10 to 11/8 favourite, which suggests the yard is confident, but debut runners are genuinely unpredictable and that price shift reflects uncertainty rather than certainty.
Racecourse debut Market favourite (11/8)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
Back after 193 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • Has not raced for 193 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
This horse raced yesterday and finished second, beaten only 3.5 lengths, which tells you it can stay competitive and get close to the business end straight away. The quick turnaround into this race is notable, but the runner-up effort shows Royal March belongs in this field and has a winning chance looming.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • 38 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
Three races, three second-place finishes—Cape Warrior has shown real consistency and genuine competitive edge at Kelso, finishing second here twice already and only narrowly beaten each time. This horse is the most course-experienced in the field and has proven it can get close to the front on this track, though it's still searching for that breakthrough win.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 249 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • G. Walkingshaw wins 4.5% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Absent from the track for 249 days—the longest break in the field—this four-year-old has raced only twice and never on normal ground conditions, making this a genuinely fresh start despite the long absence. The two prior runs showed a fifth and a third, but too much time has passed for form to tell you much about where this horse stands now.
Never raced on normal ground Lightly raced (2 career races) Absent 249 days (longest in field)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 62 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Only 10th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
TrackLab Insight
One race, one tenth-place finish beaten 30 lengths—this horse has work to do to prove it belongs at this level. The trainer is willing to get another chance into it quickly (just 62 days between runs), but the debut form was well off the pace and there's no evidence yet that this will be any different.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 164 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Six races without a win or a top-three finish; this six-year-old has shown it can run consistently in the 4th–6th range but has never managed to break through to the business end. At 50/1 and with form figures reading 7-4-6-4-4, this horse faces an uphill task in a competitive field.
Outsider at 50/1
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.