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Kelso

·
Edinburgh Gin Steeple Chase (a Limited Handicap) (GBB Race)
Starts in
15h 4min
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Mumford's Magic +1 About 3.2 miles Good ground High-level race 4 runners £20,812 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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1 Myretown
P. Wadge · L. Russell & Michael Scudamore · 9yo · 11st 12lb · Official rating 137
£1 wins £1.10 · 40 Very strong chance
A 3m 2f race suits this horse well
Freshness Form
40
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 11/10
£1 wins £1.10 · 40 Very strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.10 back.

How odds work
✓ Race distance ✓ Field size ✓ Horse record at this distance
Back after 190 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 2 times
Why this score
  • A 3m 2f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • A 4-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Has won 2 times at this course from 3 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 15lbs and the only course winner in the field with two victories from three Kelso races, but comes here off a 190-day absence and has never run on normal ground—an unusual blank spot for a horse with his record. His Cheltenham Festival win in March was marked as phenomenal by his trainer, and he wins roughly one in four races, the best rate in this four-horse field, though recent form shows two heavy defeats before that Cheltenham success.
Top rated by 15lbs Only course winner (2 from 3 here) Never raced on normal ground Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 212 days off Won 0 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs)
Why this score
  • 4 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • A 3m 2f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • Being a gelding is a small worry. Past results suggest this race slightly favours a different type of horse.
TrackLab Insight
The longest absence in the field at 212 days makes his return here a gamble, and while he has raced on normal ground before (winning one from four attempts), his three-win record from 16 races puts him bottom of this field on win rate. His last run saw him beaten 18 lengths at Warwick, and the layoff raises questions about how quickly he will regain fitness.
Best record on this ground (1 from 4) Absent 212 days (longest in field)
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 2 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • D. Skelton wins 21.9% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • 4 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Its average finish over the last three races is 4.7. That is too far back. Its results have not been steady lately.
TrackLab Insight
Sharp and ready after winning at Southwell just 11 days ago, he carries the lowest weight in the field and has shown improved form with two wins in his last six races. However, he struggles on left-handed galloping tracks and has no wins from five attempts on good-to-soft ground—both factors that could prove awkward at Kelso on normal conditions.
Carries lowest weight in field
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • A 33.3% win rate at this course for M. Bowen. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • Has raced 7 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated in the field at 7lbs below average, this underrated seven-year-old has won just twice from 19 races but showed a finished in the top 3 run at Newton Abbot and finish at Chepstow within the last month, suggesting he remains competitive. The risks are real: he has not won from eight attempts on good ground and has no victories from seven runs on right-handed galloping tracks, which limits his appeal here.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below average
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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