Stepping up in classFresh (79 days off)Won 4 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Extraordinary record—4 wins from 6 races overall and 2 from 4 at this distance—but here's the catch: she's never raced on dry ground in her life and drops two classes into this field. She's genuinely talented, but racing for the first time on this going against a competitive Class 2 is a massive ask.
Drops 2 classes from usual levelNever raced on dry groundBest record at this trip (2 from 4)Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old who won at this course just 28 days ago and is one of only two horses in the field who've tasted success here recently. His Class 2 win at Chester in September and current course form stand out, though he's 0 from 3 on good ground—a concern on today's going.
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 5 timesWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
The field's most experienced horse and a Goodwood specialist with 5 wins from 15 visits here—exactly the kind of course record you want today. But he's 0 from 12 on good-to-firm ground and runs first time with new jockey Shay Farmer, suggesting instability heading into this race.
Course specialist (5 wins from 15 here)Has won over this course and distanceMost experienced (59 runs, field avg 20)
Trainer Quotes
May 2026
"If they could only build a Goodwood down the road for him, that would be great. He'll do all the same races again, although he'll miss Ascot because he isn't as good there, All roads lead back to Goodwood. He's still thriving - he's the gift that keeps on giving. 27-05-26"
Apr 2024
"He bounced back last year, having paid the price for a good first year with us. Soft ground and seven furlongs brings out the best in him, particularly at Goodwood. He won three races from August onwards, so again he'll be starting this year with his mark right up there. He'll start back in a conditions race at Thirsk on Saturday. 19-04-24"
Flying right now after winning at Newbury this week and placing in 4 of his last 6 races, but like three rivals here, he's winless on good ground. His 33% career win rate is the joint-best in the field, though recent form suggests form over raw ability matters more today.
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Has won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Won at Newmarket last month and has placed in his last three races, but he's a Newmarket specialist with only 2 wins from 21 overall attempts. Despite having a decent record on good ground (1 from 7), he hasn't won anywhere near Goodwood and struggles on right-handed galloping tracks—this course doesn't suit.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Haydock 21 days ago and placed second at York before that—genuine form—but he carries the same Achilles heel as others in this field: 0 wins from 7 starts on fast, dry ground. His poor run at Goodwood last month (16th) on similar conditions is a red flag.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by a clear margin and a proven winner on standard ground (4 from 6), but here's the problem: this horse has never won on fast, dry ground in nine attempts. With Goodwood firm and fast today, Completely Random faces his worst surface conditions despite carrying the best form on paper.
Remarkable consistency—every single one of his 10 races has resulted in a place—but the dry ground is a dealbreaker. He's 0 from 4 on this going and looked desperately flat when beaten 11.8 lengths at Ascot three weeks ago, suggesting he's already struggling in firm conditions.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this groundWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Modest 8% win rate and winless in 21 days, but he holds a genuine edge on today's ground (2 wins from 10 on good-to-firm). Recent form is mixed—fifth at Newmarket, seventh at Ascot—and he's the lowest-rated horse in the field, making him a classic outsider type with some data to support him.
Fresh (84 days off)Won 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (25% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
One of the few course winners here (1 win at Goodwood) and genuinely suited by fast, dry ground (1 from 4 on good-to-firm). At 84 days since his last race, he's had a long break, but his experience at this track and proven record on today's ground make him a genuine danger despite a modest 9% overall win rate.
Won at this course & distanceWearing visorWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Eight-year-old with serious course form: won at Goodwood in August and holds a 24% win rate on good-to-firm ground (4 from 17). He fits the conditions perfectly, but his recent form is alarming—three races, all beaten well, with a 6th at this track just 29 days ago.
Stepping up in classWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (50% win rate)
TrackLab Insight
Three-year-old carrying the lowest weight and showing genuine talent (3 wins from 9 races), with a standout 50% win rate on good-to-firm ground. But he's just finished 10th at York eight days ago and drops two classes here—the weight relief and ground suit him perfectly, making him a serious live outsider.
Carries lowest weight in fieldDrops 2 classes from usual levelBest record on this ground (2 from 4)3 straight top-3 finishes
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Like Completely Random, The Fingal Raven is 0 from 9 on good-to-firm ground and has just finished 3rd at this course a month ago on the same conditions. His long layoff (31 days) and drifting odds (90.0) suggest the market has doubts about his suitability here.
Won twice at Wolverhampton (67% win rate at 7f-1m) but has never raced on dry ground and just finished 16th at York nine days ago. She's the most likely improver from unfamiliar conditions, but that's also her biggest question mark in a competitive field.
Never raced on dry ground3 straight top-3 finishes
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeLoves this ground (33% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Won here 83 days ago but has gone 7-7-ninth-third-12th in his last five races—catastrophic recent form that makes him the worst bet on the board. His 33% record on good-to-firm ground would be encouraging if his form suggested he could run to it, but the data says otherwise.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.