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Rare Change

Rare Change is a horse that divides opinion—talented enough to occasionally shine, frustrating enough to make his the yard pull their hair out. The four-year-old has won 4 of his 25 races, a win rate of roughly one in every six attempts, and has finished second or third another 8 times. That record suggests a horse with genuine ability who simply cannot quite put it all together consistently. "We're going to have to figure out how to win with him."Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mehmas
Mother
Plus Ca Change
Owner
Mrs J Woods And K Lawrence
Official rating
80

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
25
Career races
4
Wins
16%
Win rate
avg ~10%
32%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
24 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The clue to Rare Change's character lies in ground conditions. On fast, dry ground, he is a different proposition entirely—winning 2 of his 6 races on such surfaces, a win rate of one in three. Step him up in class, however, and he struggles; he has never won in a top-tier race from 6 attempts. His last victory came at Goodwood on 7 June 2026, now four months in the past. Since then his form has been patchy: 13th place, then 6th, two sevenths, a 6th again, and most recently 13th just a day ago. Finley Marsh, his most regular pilot, has won only once from eight races together. Yet Hughes and his team persist because they have glimpsed what Rare Change is capable of. At his best on forgiving ground and in the right race, he can deliver—but consistency remains his enemy, and his the yard are still searching for the formula that will turn occasional promise into genuine success.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 6 starts (33%)
✔ Excellent record on soft ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Loves
Soft (muddy)
Loves
Good (a little give)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Ok
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, hilly
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
24 Sep
13th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
11 Sep
6th
Salisbury
5f – 6½f · Soft · 9 runners
29 Aug
7th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 15 runners
16 Aug
7th
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
10 Jul
7th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 19 runners
7 Jun
🏆 Won
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Soft · 9 runners
6 May
9th
Chester
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
20 Apr
3rd
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 5 runners
24 Oct
12th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Soft · 13 runners
27 Sep
12th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Finley Marsh Current jockey
12.5%
Win rate
1/8
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
2/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Goodwood
Undulating
7 1 win, 1 third, 5 other 29 Aug 14.3%
York
Galloping
3 1 win, 2 other 10 Jul 33.3%
Pontefract
Undulating
3 1 win, 2 other 24 Sep 33.3%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 24 Oct 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 win 5 May 100%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 third 20 Apr 0%
Chester
Tight
1 1 other 6 May 0%
Salisbury
Undulating
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 third 6 Jul 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Sep 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Oct 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Sep 0%