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Rare Change

Rare Change is a horse that gives you just enough to keep you hooked. In 18 races, he has won 3 times and placed on 7 other occasions — that is a win rate of roughly 1 in every 6 races, which is modest, but the manner of those wins tells a more interesting story than the numbers alone.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Mehmas
Mother
Plus Ca Change
Owner
Mrs J Woods And K Lawrence
Rating
84

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
18
Career races
3
Wins
16.7%
Win rate
avg ~10%
38.9%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Richard Hughes trains him out of Upper Lambourn in Berkshire, a yard that has sent out 65 winners already this season, so this is no small operation. Hughes has spoken openly about Rare Change being a talented but frustrating horse — the kind that shows you something brilliant one day and leaves you scratching your head the next. He ran a fine race at Glorious Goodwood, finishing third in a competitive six-furlong race, and yet turned up sixth at Doncaster shortly after. That inconsistency is the central puzzle with this horse.

Where Rare Change genuinely comes alive is on fast, dry ground. In those conditions he has won 2 of just 4 races — a remarkable 50% record that suggests the state of the track matters enormously to him. His last win came at Pontefract in June 2025, when jockey Hector Crouch described a tense, close finish at a higher level of competition. Crouch noted afterwards that Rare Change had needed to step up — and did. That kind of performance, winning well in a tougher race, is exactly what Hughes had been waiting for. The first career win had come just weeks earlier at Windsor in May, so for a brief spell this summer, things clicked.

Since then, though, he has gone six races without winning. His recent form reads 3-12-12-6-12-7 — a third place to open that sequence, but nothing since. At Class 2 level, the top end of most British racing programmes, he has run six times without a win. That is not a disgrace — those are strong fields — but it does suggest he is currently competing at the very limit of what he can achieve. Finley Marsh, who rides him most regularly, has a 1 from 7 record together, winning roughly 1 in every 7 races as a partnership.

At four years old and still active, having raced just yesterday, Rare Change is a horse in search of the right conditions — literally and figuratively. Catch him on a dry track in the right company, and he could easily turn heads again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good_to_firm ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Yet to win at Goodwood in 5 attempts
Struggles on RH Undulating tracks: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good to firm (drying out)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Avoids
Class 3 (mid-level)
Loves
Class 4 (standard)
Class 5 (entry-level)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, hilly
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, hilly
Avoids
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
20 Apr
3rd
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 5 runners
24 Oct
12th
Newbury
7f – 1m · Soft · 13 runners
27 Sep
12th
Newmarket
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 15 runners
5 Sep
6th
Ascot
7f – 1m · Soft · 11 runners
2 Aug
12th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 20 runners
28 Jun
7th
Newcastle
7f – 1m · Standard · 13 runners
22 Jun
🏆 Won
Pontefract
5f – 6½f · Good · 8 runners
24 May
10th
Goodwood
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
14 May
🏆 Won
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 14 runners
5 May
🏆 Won
Windsor
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Finley Marsh Current Jockey
14.3%
Win rate
1/7
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
2/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Goodwood
Undulating
5 1 third, 4 other 2 Aug 0%
York
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 14 May 50%
Newbury
Galloping
2 2 other 24 Oct 0%
Windsor
Sharp
1 1 win 5 May 100%
Pontefract
Undulating
1 1 win 22 Jun 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 13 Sep 0%
Ascot
Galloping
1 1 other 5 Sep 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
1 1 third 20 Apr 0%
Kempton Park
Galloping
1 1 third 23 Oct 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 third 6 Jul 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 28 Jun 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 27 Sep 0%