Galway
·
COLM QUINN BMW Handicap Steeplechase
Starts in
15h 1min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins £4.50 · 20 Strong chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
20
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/2
£1 wins £4.50 · 20 Strong chance
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- A 6.6% record at this course for P. Nolan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The shortest-priced runner in this field at 3/1, this 6-year-old has momentum—he won at Sligo just 25 days ago and shows real consistency with recent form reading 1-4-3. However, his win rate sits at just 1 in every 5 races overall, and he excels on good ground rather than soft, which is the opposite of what this track demands today. Recent winners have not guaranteed success in handicaps once the pressure is on.
Market favourite (3/1)
£1 wins £4 · 16 Solid chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
16
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- E. McNamara wins only 5.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
This 5-year-old carries the lowest weight in the field and sits rated lowest by 8lbs, reflecting his status as the least experienced among the runners. He has never won from 10 races but has picked up four top-3 finishes, suggesting a horse that runs well without quite sealing the deal—he was beaten just 1.2L last time out at Listowel. Still, he lacks both experience and proven class for a competitive handicap chase, and soft ground is a total unknown for him.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 21.3% overall win rate for H. Cobden. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- With an average finish of 1.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
- A 5.1% record at this course for R. Tyner. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
This 7-year-old mare boasts the best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in every 4 races, with two victories at Punchestown and another at Naas—both off similar recent breaks. The critical issue: she has never raced on soft ground in her career, making this a genuine unknown at a course that could play to her type. She's teaming up with Harry Cobden for the first time, adding another layer of uncertainty.
Never raced on soft ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
£1 wins £5.50 · 12 Solid chance
Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 10.1% overall win rate for G. Cromwell. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- G. Cromwell wins only 6.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
This 7-year-old has been absent for 322 days—by far the longest break in the field—and returns from a 112-day layoff looking to build on a Cork win in the spring. He carries a solid 23% win rate from 13 races and finished in the top 3 on six other occasions, suggesting he's a genuinely useful horse when fit. The risks are real: he hasn't raced on soft ground recently, has a blank record on yielding ground, and yard timing after such a long absence is always a gamble.
Absent 322 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- Has finished near the front in each of the last three runs. That is a good sign.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
This 9-year-old mare holds the best record on soft ground in the field—2 wins from 7 starts—and has won twice at this 2m 6f distance, matching the race conditions perfectly. She's had a relatively short break and won as recently as 12 January at Punchestown, proof she still has competitive edge despite her age. The major concern: she has never won on left-handed galloping tracks, and Galway is exactly that layout.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
Best record at this trip (3 from 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- T. Dreaper has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 8lbs over the field, this 8-year-old has won roughly 1 in every 4 races and boasts a 43% win rate with Keith Donoghue in the saddle. However, he hasn't raced in 232 days and his form reads as three finished in the top 3 efforts without a win, suggesting ring rust could be a factor. His Punchestown expertise won't help at Galway on soft ground where he has no track record.
Top rated by 8lbs
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 4 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
TrackLab Insight
At 6 years old, this horse is still climbing—he has finished in the top 3 in two of his last three races and shows a strong record on soft ground with 1 win from 3 starts. Recent form is mixed (third last time, but only 22 days ago), and he carries blinkers and a tongue strap, suggesting the yard is working to sharpen his focus. The concern is a blank record on yielding ground, which could mean technical problems handling ground changes.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
£1 wins £14 · 6 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
This 8-year-old is the only horse in the field with a course win at Galway—he has won once from three races here—giving him genuine local knowledge over 2m 6f. However, he faces a serious problem: he has zero wins from 5 attempts on soft ground, and his recent form is poor (4th at Listowel, 11th at Killarney).
Only course winner (1 from 3 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- Only 9th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
TrackLab Insight
This 7-year-old is dangerously inexperienced—just 2 career races, both on firmer ground, with zero wins and only one place finish. He finished second by 1.5L at Killarney over similar distance, suggesting he has a chance to break through, but he is stepping into the unknown on soft ground at a new track. Data is thin and racing for only the third time, making any form reading speculative at best.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An experienced horse with 52 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- J. Patrick Ryan wins only 3.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner by a distance with 53 career races, this 7-year-old holds a course specialist record at Ballinrobe (3 wins from 6) and showed 40% form on yielding-to-soft ground. His soft-ground record (1 win from 5) is respectable, but his recent form is alarming: he hasn't won in eleven months, unseated a rider nine months ago, and finished 11th and 6th in his last two starts. Experience alone won't revive a horse in a form slump.
Most experienced (53 runs, field avg 18)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- A 6.2% career win rate for S. Torrens. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
This 9-year-old veteran carries 4 wins from 32 races—a respectable return—but hasn't visited the winner's enclosure for over three years, with recent form showing two consecutive 8th-place finishes. He holds a strong record on heavy ground but a blank slate on soft ground, the opposite of what he needs today. At 144lbs carrying the second-lowest weight, age and form decline make him an unlikely player in what should be a race for younger, sharper performers.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.