Galway
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Brasserie On The Corner Handicap Steeplechase
Starts in
16h 20min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- The trainer has a modest career record. That works against this horse.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4/1 with genuine credentials: 2 wins from 9 races (22% win rate) is sharp form, and he was winning at Listowel just 30 days ago. The stumbling block is immediate—he's never won on soft-to-heavy ground in three attempts, and that's a structural weakness in a race on soft going.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Market favourite (4/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has been off the track for 222 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- A 21.3% overall win rate for H. Cobden. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- R. Tyner has a 5.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Eight races, zero wins, and critically—he's never raced on soft ground before. With 222 days away from racing and meeting this surface cold as a maiden chaser, Harty Cup arrives at a disadvantage despite the reasonable odds of 9/2.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- J. P. Flavin has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Tramore 17 days ago in his maiden victory, and Lanzhou had also finished second at the same track three weeks earlier—this is genuine recent form on soft ground. However, he's won just once in eight races overall (12% win rate), and the question is whether a single breakthrough at one track translates here.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
£1 wins £14 · 8 Could surprise
Very little experience on today's ground
8
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has an official rating of 100. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- A 3.6% record at this course for J. Patrick Ryan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Underrated at 12/1, Piccolo Player has won once in 15 races but posted 1 win from 3 starts on heavy ground (33% win rate)—the best heavy-ground record in the field. Recent form shows a string of mid-field finishes rather than sharp form, but the ground credentials are real and his rating may not fully reflect that wet-weather edge.
Among the more experienced (15 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- A 3.8% record at this course for M. J McDonagh. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Galway 19 days ago—the course and recent form line suggest he belongs here—but Springboard has never raced on soft ground before and that's a structural unknown. His win came at a different track, and the ground switch could reshape his chances entirely.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- Finishing 3rd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A. Anthony Howard wins only 3.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The lowest-rated runner (90, ten pounds below field average) and carrying the lightest weight (146lbs), Dearg Mor is a five-year-old maiden from seven races who's never raced on soft ground. Finishing fourth most recently by less than a length suggests he has ability, but the ground and rating gap make him an unlikely winner here.
Lowest rated, 10lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Never raced on soft ground
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 8 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- An experienced horse with 40 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- J. Patrick Ryan wins only 3.6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Underrated at 14/1, Mount Frisco is built for exactly this ground—he's won 2 of 11 races on heavy or wet surfaces (roughly 1 in 5 attempts) and has been inactive for six months but wins on the conditions. The puzzle is that soft ground alone hasn't brought him home in nine attempts, and today's forecast sits between soft and heavy, making his ground-specific edge less certain than it appears.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
£1 wins £18 · 7 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
7
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from seven career races with no top-3 finishes at all, Along The Way has been out for six months and is running into a field full of proven chasers. There is nothing in his record to suggest he's ready to break through here, and the massive losing distance gaps (fourth by 93 lengths most recently) tell a story of a horse outclassed.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
£1 wins £16 · 7 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
7
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- An official rating of 102 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from six races with just one top-3 finish, Leni's Law is relatively inexperienced and has shown recent form of mostly fourth-place finishes. The horse finished fourth by 44 lengths just 22 days ago, and there's no evidence in the record that soft ground improves his profile.
Relatively inexperienced (6 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
One of the few horses in this field with a Galway win on the CV, yet he's drifted to 12/1 and finished sixth most recently at Tramore. Leave In Secret has won once in 21 races (roughly 1 in 10) and shows a dry spell for form, with only two wins across two years suggesting he's hit a plateau rather than found new gears.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- J. William Hannon has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Out for 234 days (the longest absence in the field) and carrying a single win from 11 races, Bigbraveboy does have a positive: 1 win from 5 races on soft ground (20% win rate). The comeback angle after eight months away is steep, though, and his win streak ended in a pulled-up effort at Thurles before the break.
Absent 234 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- An official rating of 100 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- Mr R. Sugrue wins 3% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
An eight-year-old with just one win in 26 races (4% win rate) who broke through at Navan in March—that breakthrough came on heavy ground, and he's won 1 of 5 on that surface. The frustration: he's never won on soft ground in three attempts, and recent form shows a pulled-up at Kilbeggan before a second-place finish at Galway 19 days ago.
Among the more experienced (26 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- C. Murphy has a 5.4% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from eight career races with no top-3 finishes, Dontcavein finished fourth at Tramore most recently but remains without a single placing in his record. At 20/1, he's priced as an outsider for good reason: there's no form marker here to suggest he can beat the better horses in this field.
Outsider at 20/1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An experienced horse with 43 career runs. Experienced horses tend to be steadier and less likely to run badly.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old war horse with 43 races under his belt and a 25% win rate on yielding ground—yet he's drifted to 33/1 despite carrying a high rating of 110. The real problem: he's never won on soft ground in seven attempts, and today's conditions at Galway look to be exactly that. Experience counts for plenty, but the ground pattern here is a red flag that outweighs his track record.
Best record on this ground (2 from 8)
Most experienced (43 runs, field avg 15)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- I. Patrick Donoghue wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through at Downpatrick last week after 16 winless attempts, but was then hammered 11th by 60 lengths at Kilbeggan just seven days later. Parkgarve carries the second-lowest rating (92) and lowest weight (148lbs), suggesting he's outgunned here by a field of sharper winners.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.