Galway
·
Tom Dempsey Flooring 4-Y-O Fillies (Pro/Am) Flat Race
Starts in
18h 26min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins £1.25 · 38 Strong chance
G. Cromwell has won 10.1% of their races in their career
38
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/4
£1 wins £1.25 · 38 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Cromwell has won 10.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- G. Cromwell wins only 6.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Moscovite is the market favourite at 5/4, making her racecourse debut for Gavin Cromwell, whose Navan yard has sent out 96 winners this season. The jockey-trainer pairing has a respectable 7 wins from 29 races, which explains some of the market confidence, but she brings no form whatsoever and soft ground at two miles remains unproven for a first-timer.
Racecourse debut
Market favourite (5/4)
£1 wins £3.33 · 24 Strong chance
An 8-runner race works well for this horse
24
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Va La Vie is a racecourse debutant sired by Walk In The Park, a stallion known for producing tough jumping stock, though she's priced at 2/1 for a flat race first run. The trainer-jockey combo has no wins from two races, and soft ground at two miles is uncharted territory for a horse with zero race experience.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Carrying 159 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- A 7.2% career win rate for C. Collins. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Mioruilteach is a racecourse debutant stepping in at 9/2, which reflects trainer Cian Collins's yard being in form—but the jockey-trainer combo has no wins from six races together. Everything here is unknown, and soft ground at two miles will be a genuine first test for a four-year-old taking late debut.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- G. Elliott wins 15.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- Mr J. Paddy Carroll wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Ellen Imlach ran once before this race—finishing sixth at Galway 19 days ago—which means she's already raced, not a true first-timer. That makes her data-thin but not completely blank, though she's never encountered soft ground and carries no wins from her outing so far.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- E. O'Sullivan wins 4.7% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Littlebeen is lightly raced with just three outings and has one top-3 finish to show for it, but her form is fragmented and inconsistent—she ran 190 days ago, then 249 days before that. Her most recent effort was a fourth at Punchestown just 12 days back, but she's still searching for a breakthrough win.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
£1 wins £11 · 6 Could surprise
This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
- E. Courtney has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Mozart's Song is one of the few runners here with actual racecourse experience—she finished third at Galway 48 days ago—but that's all the form we have, and she's never raced on soft ground. Her trainer-jockey combo has no wins from nine outings together, making this a challenging profile despite that promising first run.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Last raced 27 days ago. That is a normal gap between runs.
- A. D. Leahy has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Bluebell Breeze has raced six times without a win or a top-3 finish, and her recent form shows she's drifting backwards—ninth at Roscommon just 27 days ago after a seventh at Downpatrick. She's never run on soft ground, and at 20/1 with a new jockey-trainer pairing, there's no evidence she's about to turn things around here.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- P. Butler has won 10.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 3% career win rate for Mr R. Sugrue. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Nolans Fair Day is a racecourse debutant at 33/1, making her first start as a four-year-old for a trainer-jockey partnership meeting for the first time. With no form and long odds, she's a significant outsider in a field where soft ground and two miles will test every horse's credentials immediately.
Racecourse debut
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.