Galway
·
Glenlo Abbey Hotel & Estate Maiden Hurdle
Starts in
17h 50min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 15/8
£1 wins £1.88 · 26 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.88 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has not raced for 232 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- A 3.8% record at this course for P. J. Rothwell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite has finished in the top three in four of his five races, but that's the cruel flipside: he's still chasing his first win after five attempts, including three narrow second-place finishes. Those repeated near-misses show genuine ability, but the scoreline reads 0 wins from 5 races.
Market favourite (2/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- Rated 117 by the official rater. That is a strong number based on past results.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Seven years old with ten races behind him and no wins to show for it, Doctor Elvis has nonetheless finished in the top-3 finishes six times — a record that suggests he runs to form, just never quite gets over the line. He's never raced on soft ground and pulled up at his last outing 114 days ago.
Never raced on soft ground
Most experienced (10 runs, field avg 3)
12
Rebel Reba
£1 wins £5 · 14 Solid chance
W. P. Mullins has won 21.5% of their races in their career
14
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- W. P. Mullins has won 21.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- W. P. Mullins has won 21.5% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Trained by W. P. Mullins, one of Ireland's most prolific yards, Rebel Reba has raced just once, finishing sixth 20 days ago, and has never tackled soft ground. The trainer's firepower offers some comfort, but the mare's single run shows little competitive edge.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
£1 wins £12 · 10 Could surprise
Very little experience on today's ground
10
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Has been off the track for 178 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- A 4.1% record at this course for J. McConnell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
This horse has won 1 in every 3 races contested — a genuinely impressive win rate from three career starts, with a win and three top-3 finishes already to his name. He's lightly raced, currently active, and looks the form horse in this field on the evidence available.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6.9% overall win rate for J. McConnell. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Has been off the track for 415 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
This horse hasn't raced in 415 days — the longest absence in the field — and returns from a six-month break with zero wins from three career attempts and no experience on soft ground. The trainer is in excellent form this season, but The Iron Chef's return after such a lay-off comes with real uncertainty.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Absent 415 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- J. F O'Neill wins only 5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Eight races without a win or a place finish, and the recent pattern — 10th, 5th, 7th, 10th — tells a story of a horse that can't sustain form even when it scrapes into mid-field positions. The 4th at Galway just 19 days ago was a rare bright spot, but it's an exception in an otherwise bleak record.
Mid-range in the market (20/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not raced for 246 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- J. P. Flavin wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Six years old with just one race to his name, Always Scoring finished sixth on debut 36 days ago and has never tackled soft ground. With so little evidence and such a long gap between runs, there's simply not enough to work with here.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- 88 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- M. J McDonagh wins only 3.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Five-year-old on just his second race attempt after pulling up on debut at Galway 88 days ago, and he's never tackled soft ground before. With zero form to assess and one false start, there's minimal evidence he's ready to threaten in a competitive race.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £151.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 2m 6½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- J. Neilan has a 2.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Five races, zero wins, zero top-3 finishes — and a brutal recent run of 15th, 5th, 9th, 7th, 7th shows a horse without consistency even when it manages mid-field finishes. The 15th last time out just 27 days ago, combined with no soft-ground experience, makes this a hard proposition.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 2m 6½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- Set to carry 166 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
- J. P. Flavin has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Making his racecourse debut for a trainer in strong form this season, Well Eliot is a 5-year-old stepping out for the first time with no prior form to judge. A debut runner offers no form evidence, and soft ground on first experience is a considerable unknown.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- Carrying 164 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- P. John Gilligan has a 5.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Just one race under his belt, finishing sixth, and that's the extent of what we know about this 4-year-old after racing just a day ago. One run is barely enough to form a view, though the trainer has a modest record with this jockey.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- B. M McMahon has a 4.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A 4-year-old stepping out on the racecourse for the first time — relatively late in the game — with nothing but pedigree to go on and no form evidence whatsoever. Soft ground and racecourse debut makes this an unwieldy combination.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 6½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- D. Hassett wins only 5.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A 4-year-old filly with one race under her belt, finishing ninth 62 days ago, and raced just once again a day ago with no soft-ground experience. The trainer has no wins from seven attempts with this jockey, and there's minimal evidence to suggest this runner will make an impact.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.