Galway
·
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Steeplechase
Starts in
14h 28min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins 91p · 51 Very strong chance
This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse
51
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 10/11
£1 wins 91p · 51 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.91 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5/6 has drifted sharply from 1/12, a warning sign given recent form: fifth at this track 19 days ago and unplaced at Cheltenham recently. The horse has finished in the money in three-quarters of its 13 races, but that consistency evaporates on soft ground—zero wins from five attempts on this surface, and today's soft going at Galway poses a real problem.
Market favourite (5/6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 6-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced horse in the field with 29 races and the best record on soft ground (1 win from 5 attempts), coming back off a third-place finish at Listowel just 31 days ago. At nine years old, this Gordon Elliott runner has won only three times in 29 races, but his soft-ground wins give him a real edge in today's conditions—if he can find that winning form one more time.
Best record on this ground (1 from 5)
Most experienced (29 runs, field avg 16)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- G. Cromwell has a 6.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Labelled underrated and top-rated in the field by 5lbs, this eight-year-old returns after 517 days away—the longest absence of any runner here. Two wins and seven top-3 finishes from 15 races show genuine ability, but his last win came nearly two years ago, and a pulled-up run at Ballinrobe before the break suggests something may have needed fixing during the layoff.
Top rated by 5lbs
Absent 517 days (longest in field)
13
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field (1 from 3 at Galway) and owns the best career win rate here at roughly 1 in 6 races across 23 starts. Soft ground traditionally suits this nine-year-old, who has won on it before, but a massive 69-length defeat at Cork just 107 days ago raises questions about current form and fitness after a long absence.
Only course winner (1 from 3 here)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- T. Kelly wins 2.7% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
At 25/1, this five-year-old has never won in four career races and has never raced on soft ground before—today will be a first experience on this surface. The horse showed a glimmer with a third-place finish at Sligo but has since dipped to two fifths, and the first-time pairing with jockey Tom Kelly adds another layer of uncertainty.
Never raced on soft ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- P. John Gilligan wins only 5.8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A 66/1 outsider with just one win from 12 races and recent form that reads poorly: fell at Galway 19 days ago, then finished eighth and ninth in her previous two runs. At 159lbs, she carries the lowest weight in the field, but a 1-in-12 career win rate and no proven record on soft ground makes her a genuine long shot.
Outsider at 66/1
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.