Galway
·
COLM QUINN BMW Mares Maiden Hurdle
Starts in
16h 11min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins 91p · 42 Very strong chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
42
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 10/11
£1 wins 91p · 42 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.91 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has won at this distance 2 times before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- Finished 10th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
TrackLab Insight
Light Up The Dark is the race favourite and the only proven winner at this distance in the field, with four wins from thirteen races (roughly one in three). The standout strength: a 50% win rate on soft ground from four attempts, which directly suits today's conditions—though recent form has been patchy, including a 10th-place finish just yesterday.
Only winner at this distance
Most experienced (13 runs, field avg 4)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Market favourite (1/1)
£1 wins £1.88 · 30 Strong chance
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
30
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.88 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- G. Cromwell wins 10.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- G. Cromwell has a 6.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Simply Natural is second in the market at 7/4 and has finished in the top 3 three times from seven races, most recently with two narrow second-place finishes and a 4th—clear evidence of a horse that runs well but hasn't sealed the deal. The danger: still no wins after seven attempts, and today's soft ground and competitive field demand a breakthrough that hasn't materialized yet.
2nd in the market (7/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 33.3% win rate at this course for Mrs L. Fowler. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Mrs L. Fowler has a 7.5% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Holly's Thunder finished third on debut just yesterday, which is a genuinely promising start for a lightly raced horse. With only one outing under its belt, there's plenty of room for improvement, though debut form can be misleading in a competitive maiden field.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Recent results are getting better. The horse is finishing higher up. A horse that is improving often keeps improving.
- J. McConnell has won 6.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- S. Fitzsimons wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
Sanctity Of Space has run seven times without a win but has managed two top-3 finishes, showing glimpses of ability.
Mid-range in the market (20/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A weight of 160 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
- This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A 7.1% record at this course for T. Cooper. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Esteio makes a racecourse debut with no form to assess, carrying bloodlines from Crystal Ocean but nothing more. Debut runners in maiden hurdles carry genuine uncertainty, and pedigree alone doesn't guarantee success on the track.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
- Today's ground is Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- A 2% career win rate for T. Dreaper. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Cool As A Cat has managed just one finished in the top 3 finish from three races and raced just yesterday, finishing 10th—not encouraging signs heading into this. The standout issue: never raced on soft ground, and this track is soft, which adds real uncertainty to how this horse will handle the conditions.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Finishing 0th last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 6.6% record at this course for P. Nolan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Only two races in, Darby Hill has shown enough to finish second once, suggesting there's genuine ability developing. However, the most recent outing was a heavy 12th-place finish, and there's limited data on whether this improving trend can continue in a competitive field.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- This horse is happy on Yielding ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A 7.1% record at this course for T. Cooper. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Elite Ocean returns from a 393-day absence—by far the longest break in the field—with just one race ever completed and no top-3 finishes to show for it. Never raced on soft ground either, making this a genuine puzzle to solve on the day.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 393 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Cromwell wins 10.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- The Yielding ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- G. Cromwell has a 6.7% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Liath Mor finished 11th on its sole outing and faces this race with minimal evidence of what it can achieve. At 100/1 and with just one run behind it, this is a horse still learning the basics of racecourse life.
Racecourse debut
£1 wins £40 · 1 Long shot
J. Joseph Hanlon has won 5.6% of their races in their career
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. Joseph Hanlon has won 5.6% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- Today's ground is Yielding, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- J. Joseph Hanlon has a 4.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The Two Mary's has never finished in the top three from three races and carries the significant standout that it's never raced on soft ground. The recent form—6th, 10th, then 4th—shows inconsistency, and soft conditions represent an unknown factor for this horse.
Never raced on soft ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.