Fontwell
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Weddings At Fontwell Park Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle Race
Starts in
13h 57min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 32 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 24.4% win rate at this course for J. Owen. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A 17.8% overall win rate for J. Owen. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in the field—he broke through here just two weeks ago and was second here three weeks before that—and he's shown three straight top-3 finishes on normal ground. Just 24 days off a third-place run at Southwell, this horse has genuine momentum and proven course form that sets him apart from rivals.
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)
Best record on this ground (1 from 8)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Best career win rate in field (1 in 16)
£1 wins £3.50 · 18 Solid chance
Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate
18
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- L. Pinchin wins 16.7% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- 24 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated horse in the field by 3lbs on raw ability, but that rating hasn't translated into a win yet across five races. Recent form is mixed—a sixth at Southwell three weeks ago suggests this one still needs more time, though regular racing could help build momentum.
Top rated by 3lbs
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- A 0% record at this course for J. Moore & Josh Moore. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Stepping up two classes after a six-month absence is a significant ask for a horse with zero wins from eight races. The good news: a third-place finish here at Fontwell 184 days ago shows the course suits; the concern: recent form (third, sixth, tenth, fourth) is patchy and inconsistent.
Steps up 2 classes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 7.5% overall win rate for D. Noonan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Finished 9th last time, which was a disappointing run. A poor last run raises questions about the horse's current form.
TrackLab Insight
Fifteen races without a win is a heavy burden for any horse, and recent form (ninth last time out) shows this one isn't finding improvement. Second-highest rated on paper, but the numbers tell a clearer story: this horse is struggling to compete at the level it's been entered in.
2nd highest rated (OR 89)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- K. Lee has a good 38.9% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- Has been off the track for 310 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
Longest absence in the field at 310 days is a major concern for a horse with zero wins from seven races and no top-3 finishes to his name. The break may freshen him up, but there's nothing in his record to suggest he'll improve significantly on return.
Absent 310 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 19 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 17% overall win rate for G. Sheehan. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 0% record at this course for C. Ellam. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced horse in the field with 34 career races, but that experience hasn't brought a win—just five top-3 finishes across his entire record. Recent form is patchy (fourth last time at Southwell, but eighth and eleventh before that), suggesting he's a reliable middling performer rather than a threat.
Most experienced (34 runs, field avg 11)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- A 6.2% record at this course for D. J. Jeffreys. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Only four races into a career that has produced no wins and no top-3 finishes, stepping up two classes is bold. A gap of 150 days since his last run (when he finished eighth) makes fitness questionable, and there's been minimal opportunity to assess whether he can progress.
Steps up 2 classes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £36.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 14.2% win rate at this course for T. Cannon. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A. Irvine has a 6% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Twelve races without a win and two recent pulled-up finishes raise serious durability questions. A second-place finish at Plumpton 235 days ago remains her best moment, but the pattern of pulled-ups suggests this mare may not be handling current conditions or distances well.
Winless from 12 career races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £31.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- J. Moore & Josh Moore wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Eight races without a win or a top-3 finish, and a pulled-up run at Fontwell 34 days ago is a red flag for any horse in this race. Rated 10lbs below the field average, he's clearly one of the weaker contenders on raw ability alone.
Outsider at 22/1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £126.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- M. Murphy has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field at 11lbs below average with six career races producing no wins and no top-3 finishes. A pulled-up run at Southwell just three weeks ago and a fifth-place finish before that at Sedgefield (beaten 49.5 lengths) suggest this mare is genuinely struggling at this level.
Lowest rated, 11lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.