Fontwell
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Mercedes-Benz Of Chichester Handicap Steeple Chase
Starts in
13h 24min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 11/8
£1 wins £1.38 · 38 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.38 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 5 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A. Honeyball has a good 30.1% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- 2 runs here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
TrackLab Insight
The shortest-priced runner at 15/8, coming back out after just four days off the back of a narrow second place at Plumpton — a confident raid. That said, nine races without a win and five top-3 finishes suggest a horse that is honest but consistently unable to cross the line first, and asking it to do so quickly after a short turnaround is a big ask.
Runs again after just 4 days
Market favourite (15/8)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- Has not raced for 245 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 8 races, and won here at Taunton just 11 weeks ago, so he knows how to strike in this class. The worry is the 245-day absence — his last run was a second place at Exeter in February, and long gaps can sting a chaser's sharpness.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 8)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- 3m 2f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- 259 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated runner in the field, carries the lightest weight, yet returns after the longest absence at 259 days — a three-way contradiction that makes for uncomfortable reading. Never won in nine races with just two top-3 finishes, and that extended break will have blunted any edge before it was even a concern.
Lowest rated, 8lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Absent 259 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- This is a 6-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Never won in six races, but carries a 10lb weight advantage over the field average and is top-rated here — a rare case where the handicap might have cut through a genuinely poor record.
Top rated by 10lbs
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 21 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A 3m 2f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 7.7% career win rate for D. J. Jeffreys. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner here (2 from 4 at Fontwell) and the only runner to have won at this distance, making him the standout form horse for this specific puzzle. At nine years old with 39 races behind him, he runs roughly once every ten attempts, but strength on good-to-soft ground (3 from 11) suits today and Fontwell form is hard to ignore.
Only course winner (2 from 4 here)
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 6 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- A 3m 2f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- P. Gundry has a 6.3% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Nine years old with a reliable record — two wins from 25 races and in the top 3 in more than half her starts — and she has the best record on normal ground in this field (2 from 14). The 181-day layoff is substantial for a veteran, and while consistency is her hallmark, there is rust to shake off.
Best record on this ground (2 from 14)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.