✓ Field size✓ Race distance✓ Horse record at this distance
Wearing cheekpiecesBack quickly after its last runWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
Why this score
+5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
+3m 2f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
−The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Warwick just three days ago for the first time in 26 races, which feels dramatic but also means he's coming here off a quick turnaround carrying the favourite's tag at 21/10. The real issue is buried in his record: he's never won at Fontwell despite eight attempts, never won on anything softer than good ground, and struggles on left-hand tracks—this course is both, so the recent breakthrough might not travel.
Best record on this ground (1 from 13)Runs again after just 3 daysMarket favourite (21/10)
+A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
+N. Mulholland wins 13.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
−The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through with a first win at Plumpton 18 days ago, which matters because she's the only course winner here and the top-rated by 4lbs—though that stretched winning record (1 from 8 races) shows how hard-fought the climb has been. The real concern is she's never won on good-to-soft ground, and normal conditions at Fontwell could be trickier than the fast track that suited her last time out.
Top rated by 4lbsBest career win rate in field (1 in 8)
+Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
+5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
−N. Martin wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The least experienced runner in the field at just five races and zero wins to date, still searching for his first top-3 finish. He's weighted to have the best chance on paper at just 3lbs below the field average, but the form doesn't support it—a 4th place last time out at Worcester is the best he can show from five outings.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
Why this score
+A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
+Today's race is over 3m 2f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
−A 0% record at this course for S. Mullins. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the race and sits lowest in the ratings, but the data shows something worth noting: she's finished in the top three eleven times from twenty races, which is a much stronger pattern than her single win suggests. The risk is stark—she's never won on left-hand sharp tracks, and Fontwell is both, leaving her profile at odds with the track itself.
Lowest rated, 3lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in field
+Has raced 15 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
+A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
−D. Roberts has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old with four wins from 32 races and the kind of consistency that keeps him in top-3 finishes regularly, though he hasn't won since early in the year. He's one of only two horses in the field with winning form on good-to-soft ground (2 wins from 7 starts), which matters here—but he's also never won on fast ground in 15 attempts, making conditions a genuine puzzle for his chances.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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