Wearing tongue strapWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated horse in the field by 3lbs with the best win rate (1 in 6), and has found a winning formula at distance—winning twice in his last six races including Killarney just 43 days ago. The big problem: he's never raced on dry ground and has a poor record on fast-ground tracks, making this surface a genuine unknown for a horse who clearly suits stamina races.
Top rated by 3lbsNever raced on dry groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Wearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Editorial pick to land the race, but the form picture is messy—only one win from 14 career races, three falls in his last four starts, and pulled up at Galway just 26 days ago. He's never raced on dry ground either, and his sole career win came on yielding ground: asking him to perform on his worst surface is a stretch.
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Coming into this off three straight top-3 finishes including a second at Sligo 22 days ago, and shows a strong record at 2m+ (winning 1 in 4 or 5 attempts at that distance). However, Bruant has never won on any type of ground except soft or heavy—good-to-firm is his nightmare surface, making this dry track a serious concern despite his current form.
Never raced on dry ground3 straight top-3 finishes
Started with a 15th-place blowout at Galway 32 days ago after winning at Bellewstown and building form, suggesting inconsistency. He's never raced on dry ground and has zero wins from six attempts on good-to-yielding, yet wins roughly 1 in 4 on pure good ground—this surface is untested territory for a horse whose recent form just collapsed.
Never raced on dry ground3 straight top-3 finishes
The only horse in the field with back-to-back wins (Downpatrick 45 days ago, Tramore just 14 days ago) and she's proven on good ground with 3 wins from 13 starts. The main issue is she's never been tested on dry ground, and she struggles badly on left-handed galloping tracks—Down Royal is left-handed.
Coming off a 3rd at Killarney 43 days ago with three straight top-3 finishes, showing solid form and a 33% win rate on good ground. The concern is he's never raced on dry ground, and this will be his first time with jockey James Smith—untested pairing coming into a competitive 16-runner field.
Never raced on dry ground3 straight top-3 finishes
The most experienced runner in the field at 38 races with 5 wins (winning roughly 1 in 7 or 8 attempts), but recent form at Galway shows he's been wayward—13th and 4th in his last two races. He excels on good-to-yielding ground (67% win rate) but this dry surface is outside his comfort zone, and Down Royal's left-handed gallop could cause issues.
Has one win from 17 races (winning roughly 1 in 17 attempts) and his form has been poor, with an 8th at Killarney 43 days ago his most recent outing. He's never raced on dry ground and has won only on good ground—the track should suit him in theory, but the overall record is bleak.
At 7 years old, he's the oldest in the field and hasn't won in 26 months, though he's placed in five of his last six races and ran 3rd at Tramore just 15 days ago. Like most of this field, he's never raced on dry ground, which makes him a risky proposition despite the solid recent consistency.
J. Williamson(3)
·
G. Elliott
· 5yo
· 11st 4lb
· OR 102
HeadgearForm
4.6
Wearing hoodWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 5 career races with only one placed finish and has been badly beaten in recent outings (7th at Cork 25 days ago, 11th 110 days before that). She's never raced on dry ground and lacks the experience and form to trouble this competitive field.
The least experienced runner with just 8 career races and zero wins or placed finishes, pulling up at Cork 25 days ago. He's struggling to find his level and shows no signs of improvement—this is a horse that does not belong in a competitive handicap field of this calibre.
M. E P Powell(7)
·
L. Lennon
· 9yo
· 11st 1lb
· OR 99
FreshnessForm
4.2
Fresh (310 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
The oldest horse at 9 years old, returning from a massive 310-day absence after being pulled up at Navan—the longest break in the entire field. He has one win from 30 races (winning roughly 1 in 33) and has never raced on dry ground, making this a comeback bid on an untested surface for a horse whose bare record is weak.
Never raced on dry groundAbsent 310 days (longest in field)
Wins roughly 1 in 9 races from 18 attempts and has run consistently if modestly in recent weeks (4th, 5th, 4th in his last three). He shows a 25% win rate on good-to-yielding ground and is well-suited to 1m1f–1m2f distances, but this 2m 2f test on dry ground is outside his proven range.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
Winless and placed-less from 7 races with recent form that's deteriorated sharply (16th and 15th in his last two outings before a 6th). He's never raced on dry ground and has shown no ability to compete at this level—there's nothing in the data to suggest he'll reverse that here.
The youngest at 4 years old and carries the lowest weight (151lbs), but he's winless except for 1 victory from 20 races and has been badly beaten in recent starts (8th at Downpatrick 45 days ago by over 100 lengths). He's never raced on dry ground and his form gives no reason for confidence.
Carries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on dry ground
The lowest-rated runner in the field at 96 (7lbs below average) with just one win from 10 races and poor recent form (10th at Kilbeggan 35 days ago). She's never raced on dry ground and carries both the weight of inexperience and a struggling form line.
Lowest rated, 7lbs below averageNever raced on dry ground
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.