Five races winless, and this five-year-old has never tackled dry ground in his career — a major concern on today's fast surface at Down Royal. Recent form shows nothing to suggest he'll break through here, with a distant 4th at Wexford three weeks ago his best recent effort.
Rated ten pounds behind Astley by the editorial verdict, but this gelding won just once from 12 races and hasn't raced on dry ground before — a significant unknown. His sole career win came on good ground at Tramore back in May, yet he's coming off a heavy 9th at Galway 26 days ago.
S. Torrens
·
J. C McConnell
· 7yo
· 11st 13lb
· OR 99
HeadgearForm
2.2
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Seven years old and still searching for a maiden win after 16 races—zero victories, six places—which tells you this horse simply hasn't found the level it can win at. His most recent outing ended in a fall at Wexford just three weeks ago, and he's never raced on dry ground.
Two wins from 14 races puts her among the more successful runners here (14% win rate), and crucially, both recent wins came inside the last seven weeks. However, she's never raced on dry ground, and a 4th at Roscommon 24 days ago shows she's not in peak form right now.
M. E Dunseath(7)
·
N. C Kelly
· 8yo
· 11st 13lb
· OR 99
HeadgearForm
1.6
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at roughly one win every six races (15% from 26 outings), but this eight-year-old is a soft-ground specialist — winning two of every three races on yielding or muddy surfaces — and has never tackled dry ground. A 10th at Wexford 36 days ago shows he's struggling outside his comfort zone.
Never raced on dry groundBest career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Wearing tongue strapFresh (116 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Editorial pick sits 10 pounds clear at the top of the ratings, yet this is deeply puzzling: zero wins from nine races, 116 days absent, and never raced on dry ground — a triple concern that makes the selection look shaky on paper. His last outing here (5th at Down Royal four months ago) offers limited reassurance.
Never raced on dry groundAbsent 116 days (longest in field)
Winless from 19 races but has picked up 11 places, showing consistent mid-field form without the ability to finish the job. Never raced on dry ground, and with a 3rd last time out at Wexford, she remains stuck in the support-act role rather than leading lady.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
At nine years old with 21 races completed and still chasing a maiden win, Schiehallion represents the field's most stubborn case of unfulfilled promise. Recent pulling-up efforts at Punchestown and Killarney suggest he's running out of steam entirely.
Winless from 15 races with just two places to show for it, this six-year-old has never raced on dry ground and looks out of his depth here. A recent 5th at Wexford is his best recent form, but the bigger picture shows a horse that struggles to get competitive.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (80 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Eight years old and winless for 80 days, this gelding has managed just two wins from 23 races (one every 11 or so outings) and has never raced on dry ground. The worrying part is that he'll struggle on today's fast surface: zero wins from six attempts on good ground in his entire career.
J. Halford(7)
·
J. C McConnell
· 8yo
· 11st 4lb
· OR 90
FormTrack
2.2
Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Just one win from 19 races across her career despite nearly breaking through repeatedly—she was beaten just 0.3 lengths into second at Wexford 36 days ago. Never raced on dry ground, but Down Royal has proven a bogey venue: zero wins from five attempts there.
Wearing hoodFresh (98 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
Two wins from 29 races gives her an acceptable pedigree (7% win rate), and she holds the best record at this trip with a win from three outings at three miles. However, she's never raced on dry ground, pulled up last time 98 days ago, and hasn't run for three months—a long lay-off before today's challenge.
Never raced on dry groundBest record at this trip (1 from 3)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Fresh off a breakthrough win at Downpatrick just this week, this six-year-old has transformed from mid-field plodder to genuine threat with four wins from 28 recent races (14% win rate). The red flag: never raced on dry ground before, so today's firm surface is completely uncharted territory.
Won at this course & distanceWearing tongue strapWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeWon at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner in this field—she's won the one time she's raced here at Down Royal—and that victory came over this exact course and distance. Just two wins from 33 races makes her an outsider overall, but her Down Royal form is the standout story in a wide-open handicap.
Only course winner (1 from 1 here)Has won over this course and distance
Winless from 13 races with just four places to her name, and the bigger worry is the pull-ups in her recent record—twice unable to complete at Bellewstown and Kilbeggan over the past two months. Never raced on dry ground, and 491 days since her last competitive outing suggests this mare is out of sorts.
S. Fitzsimons(7)
·
J. C McConnell
· 9yo
· 10st 10lb
· OR 82
HeadgearForm
2.2
Wearing hoodWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
A nine-year-old winless from 23 races with just five places, Technology is running on fumes after a 12th-place mauling at Kilbeggan 49 days ago. Never raced on dry ground, and the recent form screams this horse has lost its way.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Raced here beforeWon at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced runner in the field at 38 career races and four wins (11% win rate), this ten-year-old has genuinely found his feet late in his career—yet he's a soft-ground specialist with zero wins from 14 attempts on good ground. Never raced on dry ground, and that record on firm surfaces is a dealbreaker today.
Never raced on dry groundMost experienced (38 runs, field avg 19)
Winless from 21 races but has picked up six places, most recently finishing fourth—narrowly—at Ballinrobe just 18 days ago. Never raced on dry ground, and while she's competitive in her own right, the maiden status after this many attempts suggests she's found her level without quite reaching it.
The least experienced horse in the field at five years old, this gelding finally broke his duck at Bellewstown five weeks ago after 11 races. Never raced on dry ground, and while his recent form has slumped (9th and 7th at Wexford), his breakthrough suggests potential if he can adapt to today's surface.
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Running again after just six days—an unusually quick turnaround—following a disappointing 13th at Killarney, this eight-year-old looks short on recovery time. Two wins from 20 races (10% win rate) is respectable, but the tight turnaround and recent poor form raise fresh concerns.
J. Williamson(3)
·
L. Doyle
· 5yo
· 10st 3lb
· OR 75
FormTrack
1.6
Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
At five years old, this gelding is the second-least experienced in the field and has yet to register a single place from six races—a blank slate with nothing to suggest he's ready for this step up. Never raced on dry ground, making this a shot in the dark with a horse that hasn't yet proved competitive anywhere.
E. O'Sullivan(7)
·
M. J Smith
· 8yo
· 10st 0lb
· OR 72
HeadgearForm
1.6
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field (16 pounds below average) and carries the lightest weight, yet has zero wins and zero places from 15 races—a dire record that explains his low rating entirely. Never raced on dry ground, and a recent pull-up at Sligo shows he remains unconvincing across the board.
Lowest rated, 16lbs below averageCarries lowest weight in fieldNever raced on dry ground
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.