Fresh (63 days off)Won 2 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A genuine unknown on dry ground after winning twice at Cartmel on softer surfaces, so this is uncharted territory for the five-year-old. His 3 top-3 finishes from 4 career races show promise, but stepping up in class and ground conditions simultaneously is a hefty ask for a lightly raced horse.
Never raced on dry ground3 straight top-3 finishes
Wearing cheekpiecesQuick turnaroundWon 0 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner here with a 50% win rate at Down Royal from 2 runs, and a strong 43% win rate on good ground gives him genuine credentials despite his 21-race win rate. Returning after just 7 days shows he's fit and ready, but he hasn't won a race in nearly two years, which tempers the course form advantage.
Only course winner (1 from 2 here)Runs again after just 7 days
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 2 of last 5Raced here beforeLoves this ground (40% win rate)Won at this distance 1 time
TrackLab Insight
The editorial pick and narrowly second in the ratings, but his edge comes from proven course-and-ground form: he's won 2 of 5 on dry ground, a crucial advantage when most rivals have never tackled fast turf. Fresh off back-to-back wins at Cork and Curragh, he's clearly in form and the only horse in the field with a genuine track record here on these exact conditions.
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 1 of last 5Won at this distance 2 times
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 7lbs and the obvious threat with a 29% win rate (best in the field), but there's a glaring hole: he's never raced on dry ground and wins 2 in 3 when it's soft or heavy. On this fast turf, the form book suddenly looks much less reliable, making him the most unpredictable of the front-runners.
Top rated by 7lbsNever raced on dry groundBest record at this trip (2 from 5)Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2025
"The Stayers' is the plan and he's been good since the Galmoy. Dylan Phelan worked him this week and was very happy with him. He'll be good to go after another couple bits of work next week. 20-2-25"
A solid nine-year-old with a 33% win rate on good ground, but like many rivals he's untested on dry turf and his recent form is thin: 4th at Tramore 14 days ago was his first action in over a month. At this age and with that form pattern, he's unlikely to trouble the favourites.
Never raced on dry ground
Trainer Quotes
Nov 2025
"He's won only once over fences, but he ran a huge race when second in the Plate at the Cheltenham Festival last season. He probably didn't quite see out the trip when sixth in the Kerry National last time. We might go back in trip with him again and he's in the Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham this month. 04-11-25"
Nov 2024
"He's a nice horse who we bought at the Goffs autumn horses in training sale. He's a novice for the season and he'll qualify for the novice handicap chase at Cheltenham, so we'll probably aim him at the spring. He had some good form for Denis Hogan, including when six lengths behind Spillane's Tower in a Grade 1. 13-11-24"
Running hot with a stunning 75% win rate from just 4 races, including a win at Roscommon just days ago, but he's a raw talent untested on dry ground and racing again after only 24 days suggests the trainer is pushing his luck. His inexperience on this surface and frantic campaign are genuine red flags despite the glowing recent record.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (384 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Returning from a massive 384-day absence after nearly eight months on the sidelines—easily the longest layoff in the field—and the jockey-trainer combination have never worked together before. He's untested on dry ground, so this is a double gamble on fitness and conditions for a horse whose last three races saw him beaten by over 20 lengths.
Never raced on dry groundAbsent 384 days (longest in field)
Wearing cheekpiecesWon 3 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
A mare hitting her stride with three wins from her last six races and a dominant 50% record at Downpatrick, her last two victories coming at that track on good ground just weeks ago. However, she's yet to prove herself outside Downpatrick and the step up in class here against stronger opposition is a significant leap from her recent wins.
E. O'Sullivan(7)
·
P. Fahey
· 10yo
· 11st 0lb
· OR 126
HeadgearForm
8.0
Wearing blinkersWon 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old journeyman with just a 16% win rate and no victories in over three years, appearing here after a 27-day break on the back of 7th and 9th-place finishes. He's never raced on dry ground either, making him one of the least convincing runners in a competitive field.
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.