Mo Ghille Mar

The most striking pattern in her record is her love of slightly soft ground. On such conditions, she wins roughly two-thirds of the time — 2 wins from just 3 races. Give her a fast, dry surface and her form falls away sharply. She also performs well over middle distances between a mile and three furlongs and a mile and four furlongs, where she has won 2 from 6 races. These are not top-level distances, but they suit his running style, and trainer John Joseph Hanlon's yard at Bagenalstown, which has sent out 11 winners this season, clearly knows how to get the best from him at these trips.

Down Royal is Mo Ghille Mar's happy hunting ground. She has won 2 of her 4 races there — a win rate of one in two — and her most recent victory came at the track just six weeks ago on 28 August. That suggests current form, even though her last six runs read 3-5-1-4-13-7. The third-place finish most recently is encouraging enough, though the two-digit runs either side show how dependent she is on the right set-up. Shane Foley, his most frequent partner, has ridden him 13 times and won twice, matching his overall win rate. For a horse without the class to win big races, Mo Ghille Mar has found her level and her track. A return to Down Royal in soft ground over the right distance would offer her best chance of adding another win.