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Hopeful Hero

There is a horse in Ireland right now riding a genuine wave of momentum, and its name tells you everything about what it has taken to get here. Hopeful Hero is a 5-year-old trained by T Hogan out of a quiet yard in Nenagh, County Tipperary, and just one day ago it finally broke through for its first career win at Bellewstown.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
5 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Raven's Pass
Mother
Time Passes
Trainer
Owner
Cool Out Again Syndicate
Rating
104

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
11
Career races
1
Wins
9.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
72.7%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The numbers tell an honest story. From 11 races, Hopeful Hero has won once and finished in the places eight other times — a win rate of roughly 1 in every 11 races. On the surface, that sounds modest, but look at it another way: this horse has been competitive in nine of its eleven outings. It keeps showing up, keeps threatening, and keeps finishing close. The recent form confirms that — looking at the last six races from most recent to oldest, the sequence reads 1-3-3-2-2-3. That is a horse banging on the door consistently, not fading into the background. Second, third, second, third, third, and then, finally, first.

That win came at Bellewstown on 4 July 2026, and it matters for a few reasons. Bellewstown is a compact, festival track perched on a hilltop in County Meath, known for attracting lively, competitive racing — not the easiest place to get your head in front for the first time. The fact that Hopeful Hero did it there, after all those near-misses, suggests a horse that is genuinely improving rather than one that stumbled into a weak race.

T Hogan's yard has sent out just one winner this season — and Hopeful Hero is it. For a small operation in Tipperary, that is the whole story of the summer so far, which gives this win an extra layer of significance for everyone involved. Small yards do not have the luxury of rotating dozens of horses through big meetings. Each winner means something.

With Hopeful Hero still active and racing as recently as yesterday, there is every reason to think this is not the end of the story. A horse that has placed eight times in eleven races and just broken its duck at a competitive track is the kind of animal that can build on a moment like this. Whether it does is the interesting question.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on good ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_yielding ground: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Good (firm-ish)
Loves
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Long Distance (2M+)
1M6F – 2M
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Avoids
Right-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
4 Jul
🏆 Won
Bellewstown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 19 runners
9 Jun
3rd
Sligo
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 16 runners
9 Nov
3rd
Naas
Long Distance (2m+) · Soft_To_Heavy · 5 runners
31 Oct
2nd
Down Royal
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 5 runners
15 Oct
2nd
Punchestown
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 10 runners
29 Sep
3rd
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
21 Aug
2nd
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Good · 8 runners
5 Aug
DNF
Roscommon
1m6f – 2m · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners
17 Jul
5th
Killarney
Long Distance (2m+) · Yielding_To_Soft · 19 runners
3 Jul
3rd
Tipperary
Long Distance (2m+) · Good_To_Yielding · 19 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Mr Alan O'Sullivan Current Jockey
0%
Win rate
0/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
Mr J M Halford
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Punchestown
Galloping
2 1 second, 1 other 15 Oct 0%
Killarney
Sharp
2 1 second, 1 other 21 Aug 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 29 Sep 0%
Bellewstown
Sharp
1 1 win 4 Jul 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 third 9 Nov 0%
Down Royal
Galloping
1 1 second 31 Oct 0%
Sligo
Sharp
1 1 third 9 Jun 0%
Tipperary
Galloping
1 1 third 3 Jul 0%