Doncaster
·
Rfj And Bee Jays Electrical Handicap Stakes (Div II)
Starts in
16h 19min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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20
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 11/4
£1 wins £2.75 · 20 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Stall 12 helps today. At this course, some starting stalls have done better than others.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite (11/2) who has won over this course and distance, but comes to Doncaster off back-to-back 4th place finishes at Kempton and hasn't raced in 31 days. The low draw and wet ground create headwinds for a horse whose only wins came on faster surfaces.
Has won over this course and distance
Market favourite (11/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A prize fund of £5,653 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- C. Lidster has a 5.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated runner with the least weight but returns after just seven days following an 8th-place finish at Southwell, indicating either back-up plans or recovery concerns. Two wins from twelve races is respectable, but the quick turnaround and poor record on good ground raise questions about freshness and suitability.
Lowest rated, 6lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Runs again after just 7 days
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A prize fund of £5,653 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
- S. Corbett wins only 7.7% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite (11/2) who has the best win rate on soft ground (1 from 3) and suits 7f distances, drawing perfectly in stall 1 on a track where low draws have a 12% edge. Finished 3rd just 14 days ago and remains actively campaigned, though recent placings suggest he is not quite at the level required to beat this field consistently.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- M. & David Easterby has a 6.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Won just two weeks ago at Ayr and returned 3rd there a week before that, showing he is sharp and thriving on soft ground. Has won over this course and distance in the past, and the wet conditions here suit him better than most in the field, though the heavier-than-expected ground (wet rather than soft) may test his appetite.
Has won over this course and distance
£1 wins £9 · 8 Could surprise
Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
2nd-highest rated in the field but wins just once in every eleven races and has never managed a win on standard or good ground. Recent form at Pontefract shows two consecutive finishes outside the top 5, and this left-handed galloping track at Doncaster historically is not his terrain.
2nd highest rated (OR 81)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With an average finish of 3.7 in recent runs, this horse keeps finishing close to the front. It would not need much luck to win.
- An 8.7% overall win rate for R. Scott. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced horse in the field with 58 races and won at Doncaster just 43 days ago, though has a poor record on standard ground and none on good-to-firm. The wet conditions are neither ideal nor proven, but his recent 3rd at York shows he retains form, and his experience could count in a competitive race.
Most experienced (58 runs, field avg 23)
£1 wins £16 · 6 Could surprise
Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate
6
Underrated horse
We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- With 49 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Won at Southwell just 30 days ago and finished 2nd at Doncaster 43 days ago, demonstrating he can perform at this level and on this track. With top-3 finishes in 2 of his last 3 races and an underrated label, the wet ground may hinder his chances as he has never won on soft surfaces.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
5
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- An average finish of 4.3 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground and comes into the race off the back of a 5th-place finish at York just 15 days ago, showing modest recent form. This is his first race with new jockey Molly Keegan-Price and lacks the ground experience this Doncaster surface demands.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A prize fund of £5,653 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- M. Dods has a 6.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 5 races, but has gone a year without victory despite finishing 3rd just 19 days ago. The wet ground here suits his profile better than fast conditions, and he was last successful on similar terrain at Thirsk in April, though recent form has drifted.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
3
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Handles this ground well, with 20% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- Facing weaker rivals than last time out. When a horse drops to an easier race, it often finds things easier.
- 14 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Won as recently as 80 days ago at Pontefract and holds the best record specifically over 7f with four wins from 13 attempts. The lay-off is a concern, but the low draw and wet ground align with his recent winning form, and the jockey-trainer combo has found success together.
Best record at this trip (4 from 13)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has won at this distance 1 time before. A horse that has shown it can last the trip is a plus.
- Has an official rating of 77. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- N. Tinkler wins only 6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground and has won only on fast, dry surfaces—a significant disadvantage on today's Doncaster track. Recent form shows 8th at York and 7th at York in consecutive runs before a 3rd-place finish, suggesting he is not racing with conviction.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- I. Furtado wins 9.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A prize fund of £5,653 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- This is a 14-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Drifted dramatically in the market (16/1 from 1/7) and carries a high rating, but has never raced on wet ground—a real concern on today's Doncaster surface. Won his only race on fast, dry ground and has managed just one win and one place from eight attempts overall, suggesting this is a testing step up in class.
Never raced on wet ground
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A prize fund of £5,653 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- G. Tuer wins only 4.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Excels on good ground (5 wins from 16 starts) but has never won on soft ground and shows a poor record on standard ground, making him poorly suited to today's wet Doncaster surface. The 17th-place finish here 43 days ago indicates the track itself presents problems.
One of the more successful in the field (6 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Racing against weaker rivals than last time. Think of a Premier League team playing in the Championship. The drop in level helps.
- There is £5,653 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 14-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on wet ground and has struggled away from Pontefract, where he holds all but one of his three top-3 finishes. Recent form shows consecutive finishes outside the top 5, and the low rating and inexperience suggest this is a steep ask.
Never raced on wet ground
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.