Doncaster
·
Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
Starts in
15h 9min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
18+ | Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org Ad: we earn commission if you join a bookmaker via our links.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Appleby wins 23.1% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A 21.6% win rate at this course for W. Buick. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 5/1, Castlemont has won two of three career races but has never raced on wet ground and his most recent outing ended in 4th at Newmarket 29 days ago. At just three years old with limited racecourse experience, he steps into the unknown on soft turf after rain, which introduces real uncertainty despite his impressive raw win rate.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Market favourite (5/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- E. Greatrex wins 12.4% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
His form on wet ground is untested, and while he has built a solid 23% win rate over thirteen races, he faces a significant rise in difficulty stepping up in class on unfamiliar ground conditions.
2nd in the market (13/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- A 15.4% win rate at this course for J. Channon. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Galyx carries the lowest weight (125lbs) and won at Beverley 55 days ago, but his form is mixed: 4th at Ayr most recently and zero wins from five attempts on good ground. At 15/2, he represents a middle-ground option, though his lack of success on fast or firm ground raises questions about how he will adapt to wet turf.
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Varian wins 23.1% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- R. Varian wins 19.1% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Ultrasoul drops two classes after an 11th at Southwell 79 days ago, following a win at Chester back in March. He has never raced on wet ground and shows a stark contrast in form: solid finished in the top 3 finishes in recent races mask a deeper concern that his last four outings on standard ground produced no wins from three attempts.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Wins 20% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- O. Murphy wins 17.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A Major Payne has found form recently with three wins from his last six races and drops two classes, but he carries a damaging record on standard ground (0 wins from 3 starts) and struggles on right-handed galloping tracks (0 wins from 5 starts). At Doncaster on wet ground, both those vulnerabilities come into play.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- The trend in recent results is up. Each run has been better than the one before, which is encouraging.
- T. Queally wins only 9.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Mondo Man has drifted sharply from 1/7 to 13/1, reflecting a poor 16th-place finish at Ascot 127 days ago after a Class 2 win at Sandown. He carries the highest weight and draws high (14), neither a help on wet ground at a left-handed track where he has never won, despite a 33% win rate over his preferred 1m6f–2m distances.
Mid-range in the market (13/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- H. Eustace wins 19% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- This is a 16-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Principality bounced back from a 20th at Newmarket to finish 2nd at Salisbury, beaten just half a length, showing real promise on faster ground. However, he has never won on good-to-soft or wet ground—exactly what this race demands—and his 4/1 odds from 17/1 suggest significant market reassessment rather than confidence in wet-ground form.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
16
Pearl Eye
£1 wins £12 · 7 Could surprise
Has had 50 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has had 50 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- Has won 1 time at this course from 2 runs. A horse that has won here before may like the course.
- Up against stronger rivals than before. Moving up to a harder race tests whether a horse is improving.
TrackLab Insight
Pearl Eye carries the underrated label and boasts the best record on wet ground in the field (3 wins from 10 starts), plus a win at Doncaster in March 2025 and a 2nd at York just 14 days ago. Dropping two classes, drawing low (2), and running on his preferred surface makes him a standout value case at 10/1, despite carrying the lowest rating in the field.
Lowest rated, 5lbs below average
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Best record on this ground (3 from 10)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- R. Ryan wins 15.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 169 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- A 6.4% record at this course for D. Menuisier. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Janey Mackers has been off the track for 169 days—the longest absence in the field—since finishing 3rd at Chester. She won a Class 2 race at Doncaster in October 2024, suggesting she knows this course, but the lengthy layoff and heavy rain make this a high-risk return after such a long gap.
Absent 169 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- J. & Thady Gosden has a good 23.1% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- A 22.4% win rate at this course for B. de la Sayette. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A 16-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Devil's Peak carries the underrated label and won at Doncaster just 44 days ago, but he has never raced on wet ground and his most recent outing was a heavy 10th at Newmarket 15 days ago. Despite a 50% win rate at 1m3f–1m4f, this trip and these conditions represent untested territory at 17/1.
Never raced on wet ground
8
City of Delight
£1 wins £12 · 4 Long shot
6 wins at this race length
4
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 6 wins at this race length. Distance matters. If it is too short, the horse cannot use its staying power. If it is too long, the horse gets tired.
- An 11.9% overall win rate for D. Menuisier. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 6.4% record at this course for D. Menuisier. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
City Of Delight has won over this course and distance and boasts a strong 60% win rate at 1m2f, but his last race was 134 days ago and he shows a critical weakness: zero wins from five attempts on standard-to-slow ground. Wet conditions here play directly into his main risk factor, making his 17/1 odds reflect genuine concern despite course history.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (6 from 10)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- C. Hardie has won 5.5% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Has had 42 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- R. & Peter Fahey wins only 7.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Have Secret raced just 14 days ago and shows a solid 33% win rate on good ground, but the race is on wet ground—a surface where he has never won from nine attempts. His 11% career win rate and recent form (7th at York 14 days ago) suggest he is unlikely to break that wet-ground drought at 18/1.
Among the more experienced (44 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £36.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- R. Hannon wins 12.3% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Bunyola Bay holds the best raw win rate in the field at 33%, but his last three races tell a troubling story: 10th, 18th, and 8th over the past three months. Dropping two classes looks positive on paper, yet his odds have drifted dramatically to 33/1, reflecting the market's view that recent form is the true measure of where he stands now.
Drops 2 classes from usual level
Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 10 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- Came home 0th last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
At eight years old, Mustazeed is the second-oldest in the field and has won over this course and distance, but his record elsewhere is thin—four of his five career wins came at Newbury alone. He draws low (6), but 134 days away from racing and an incomplete recent form line create serious fitness concerns at 33/1.
Has won over this course and distance
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has had 52 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- Handles this ground well, with 23% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- M. Walford has a 6.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner with 52 career races, Spioradalta is a Ripon specialist (44% win rate there) but finished 8th at Chester most recently and shows a pronounced weakness on left-handed galloping tracks (1 win from 21 attempts). Doncaster does not suit his profile, and 40/1 reflects that reality.
Most experienced (52 runs, field avg 20)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- 16 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
Wahdan broke through for a maiden win at Pontefract just 30 days ago and has shown consistency in recent races with two top-3 finishes in the last three outings. However, his 6% career win rate and struggles on left-handed tracks (0 wins from 10 attempts) make 35/1 a fair reflection of his baseline, despite the recent breakthrough.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.