Doncaster
·
Remembering Sue Wright Prospect Stakes (registered As The Doncaster Stakes) (Listed Race)
Starts in
13h 19min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 4/6
£1 wins 67p · 62 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.67 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
- R. Moore wins 18.5% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Just broke through with a win at Naas this week after two races without success, showing the progress expected of a 2-year-old stepping up in class. Three consecutive top-3 finishes and the market's shortest price (6/5) reflect genuine promise, though wet ground is a first experience at Listed level that could test his credentials.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (6/5)
13
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- A 25.2% overall win rate for P. Twomey. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- P. Twomey wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Five races into his career with one win from five attempts, though he ran well to finish just 0.5 lengths second at the Curragh only four weeks ago. Never experienced wet ground, and his recent form suggests he's improving rather than consolidating — a horse still discovering what he's capable of.
Never raced on wet ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 7.5% record at this course for R. & Peter Fahey. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated in the field by 3lbs and has three straight top-3 finishes, but her overall record tells a different story — one win from five races with two recent thirteenth-place finishes at York and Ascot suggesting she doesn't handle all conditions. Recent form on good ground is solid, but wet turf represents a territory where her record is blank.
Top rated by 3lbs
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 11.9% overall win rate for K. Ryan. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- K. Ryan wins only 7.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Hasn't raced for nearly six months, making this return to the track after her last run in June a significant gamble. She has a win from three career races but her form was deteriorating before that break — a tenth-place finish most recently and only lightweight racing experience to draw from.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (3 career races)
Absent 162 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- 41 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
Just won at Bath this week and has now finished in the money in all four career races, including three straight top-3 finishes — this is consistent scoring rather than flash-in-the-pan form. The concern is this is her first Listed race off just four starts, and she's rated 9lbs below the field average despite recent momentum.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- M. Appleby has won 10.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- A 7.8% record at this course for J. Hart. Some jockeys just do not do well at some courses.
TrackLab Insight
Won on debut at Newcastle three weeks ago but has never raced on wet ground — this race presents an unknown territory for an otherwise perfect record. With only one race under his belt, there's genuinely limited form to assess; the step from a Newcastle maiden to Listed competition is considerable.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £36.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
- R. Hannon has won 12.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- With £28,355 in prize money, this is a lower-level race. That sometimes means the horse has struggled in better races.
TrackLab Insight
Five races without a second top-3 finish after breaking through at Sandown in August; recent form shows three straight fifth or seventh-place runs that suggest she's losing momentum rather than building on that early promise. Never tested on wet ground and lacks the consistency needed for a Listed assignment at this stage.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £36.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 8 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
- 15 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
The only horse in the field with two wins from four races (a 50% win rate) and three top-3 finishes from four starts — genuine quality on the record. Last outing at Newmarket was a step back with a tenth-place finish, but her two Ripon wins and overall consistency rank her among the strongest form-horses present.
3 straight top-3 finishes
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.