His most regular partnership is with jockey James Ryan, who has been in the saddle for 30 of those 100 runs and produced just 1 of the 2 wins between them. That's a 1-in-30 return, which tells you the pair are working hard without much reward to show for it. In racing, a jockey-trainer combination often improves with time as they build an understanding of what suits each horse — so there's reason to think this partnership could still develop.
When the ground is riding normally, Coyle's figures look marginally better: 1 winner from 27 races, or roughly 1 in every 27. That's not dramatic, but it does suggest his horses show up better on a standard surface than in more extreme conditions.
The most pressing question around Coyle's yard right now is what explains the drop from 9% to 2% in a single season. Four years in, a trainer is still learning, still building their string, and still figuring out which races suit which horses. A rough patch at this stage isn't unusual — but two winners from a hundred runners is a hard number to spin positively. What Coyle needs more than anything is a change of momentum, because in this sport, confidence travels in both directions.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dundalk | 33 | 0 | 0% |
| Roscommon | 12 | 1 | 8.3% |
| The Curragh | 7 | 0 | 0% |
| Fairyhouse | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Navan | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Leopardstown | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Down Royal | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Sligo | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Naas | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Punchestown | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Galway | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Ballinrobe | 3 | 0 | 0% |
| Wexford | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Kilbeggan | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Gowran Park | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Downpatrick | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Cork | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Limerick | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Listowel | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Bellewstown | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Tipperary | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Thurles | 1 | 0 | 0% |