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Apache Outlaw

There's a horse in Adrian McGuinness's yard in Lusk, Co Dublin, that has a very specific superpower: put it on the track at Dundalk, and something clicks. Apache Outlaw has won 4 of its 11 races there — that's better than 1 in every 3 visits to that particular venue — which is a remarkable record for any horse, let alone one that wins just 1 in every 9 races overall across a long career of 53 outings. Course specialists are a genuine phenomenon in racing, and this six-year-old is a textbook example: certain tracks seem to suit a horse's stride, its temperament, or the way it handles a bend, and Dundalk has clearly been Apache Outlaw's happy place.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Churchill
Mother
Focus Of Attention
Owner
Dooley Thoroughbreds J Fairhurst
Rating
71

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
53
Career races
6
Wins
11.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
34.0%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Curragh
About 5 furlongs · Mostly firm ground · 18 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The broader numbers tell the story of a solid, honest performer rather than a star. Six wins and 18 placed finishes from 53 races means this horse has come home in the prize money nearly half the time, which represents real consistency at its level. It particularly likes normal ground conditions — that sweet spot where the track is neither waterlogged nor baked hard — winning 4 of 15 races (27%) in those circumstances. On other ground, the results drop away noticeably.

The partnership with jockey Adam Caffrey is a long one — 23 races together — but it has produced just 2 wins, a win rate of around 1 in 12. That said, Caffrey clearly knows this horse well, and familiarity counts for something in a sport where communication between horse and rider matters. The yard itself is in strong form this season, with 45 winners sent out by McGuinness, so Apache Outlaw is part of a genuinely productive operation.

What makes the profile slightly bittersweet right now is the current run of form. Apache Outlaw hasn't won in its last six races, and the last victory came at Dundalk back in December 2024 — nearly 19 months ago. The recent results of 5th, 3rd, 4th, 6th, 11th, and 8th show a horse that isn't disgracing itself but can't quite find the winner's enclosure. Crucially, though, it raced just yesterday, so the yard are clearly still believing in it. If there's one obvious target to end the drought, you'd have to say it involves a trip back to Dundalk — the one place where Apache Outlaw has consistently shown what it can do.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 4 wins from 15 starts (27%)
Course specialist at Dundalk: 4 wins from 11 starts (36%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jul
5th
Limerick
7f – 1m · Good · 11 runners
26 Jun
3rd
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 18 runners
18 Jun
4th
Leopardstown
7f – 1m · Good · 17 runners
31 May
6th
Listowel
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
3 Apr
11th
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
20 Feb
8th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
6 Feb
6th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
16 Jan
3rd
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
17 Dec
4th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
5 Dec
7th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
8.7%
Win rate
2/23
Won / Rode
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
Sam Coen
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Keithen Kennedy
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
20 1 win, 2 seconds, 2 thirds, 15 other 26 Jun 5%
Dundalk
Galloping
11 4 wins, 1 second, 3 thirds, 3 other 20 Feb 36.4%
Naas
Galloping
4 2 thirds, 2 other 12 Oct 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 14 Jun 50%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 1 Sep 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 3 Apr 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 13 Jun 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Feb 0%
Galway
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 7 Jun 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Aug 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 31 May 0%
Leopardstown
Galloping
1 1 other 18 Jun 0%
Limerick
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Jul 0%