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Apache Outlaw

There is a version of Apache Outlaw that turns up at Dundalk and becomes a different horse entirely. Across 50 career races, this six-year-old has won 6 times — that's roughly 1 in every 8 races, a modest enough record on paper. But filter those numbers down to Dundalk alone and something sharper emerges: 4 wins from just 11 races there, meaning he has won more than 1 in every 3 visits to that track. For context, that is an extraordinary conversion rate for any horse at any single venue. Dundalk is an all-weather track that races year-round, and Apache Outlaw has clearly figured something out there that he hasn't quite managed to replicate elsewhere.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Chestnut
Father
Churchill
Mother
Focus Of Attention
Owner
Dooley Thoroughbreds & J Fairhurst
Rating
73

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
50
Career races
6
Wins
12%
Win rate
avg ~10%
34%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His first career win came at Fairyhouse back in June 2022, and his most recent came at Dundalk on 18 December 2024 — though that is now 18 months ago, and his last 6 races have produced nothing better than a third. Recent form of 6-11-8-6-3-4 suggests a horse who is competitive without quite getting to the line first, and at six years old there is no great mystery to explain — he simply hasn't found his moment yet in this current run.

Normal ground suits him well. On standard conditions he has won 4 of 15 races, or just over 1 in 4 — a noticeably better record than on anything softer or faster, which is a useful pointer for anyone watching him closely. He is trained by Adrian McGuinness at Lusk in County Dublin, a yard that has sent out 39 winners already this season, so the operation clearly knows what it is doing. Adam Caffrey rides him most often, with 2 wins from 22 races together — about 1 in every 11 — though the horse's Dundalk record suggests the venue matters at least as much as the rider.

Apache Outlaw raced just yesterday, which means he is right in the thick of a busy campaign. He is not a horse built for the biggest occasions — his career earnings and level of competition place him firmly in the bread-and-butter tier of the sport. But at his favourite track, on a good surface, he has already shown four times that he knows exactly what to do. The question is simply when Dundalk comes around again.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 4 wins from 15 starts (27%)
Course specialist at Dundalk: 4 wins from 11 starts (36%)
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on yielding ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Ok
Soft (muddy)
Unknown
Soft to heavy (wet)
Unknown
Heavy (very wet)
Unknown
Good to yielding (mild give)
Unknown
Yielding to soft (damp)
Unknown
Yielding (slightly soft)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
5F – 6½F
Ok
1M1F – 1M2F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Unknown
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Avoids

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
31 May
6th
Listowel
5f – 6½f · Good · 16 runners
3 Apr
11th
Lingfield Park
5f – 6½f · Standard · 12 runners
20 Feb
8th
Dundalk
5f – 6½f · Standard · 10 runners
6 Feb
6th
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 14 runners
16 Jan
3rd
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 8 runners
17 Dec
4th
Dundalk
7f – 1m · Standard · 10 runners
5 Dec
7th
Dundalk
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 8 runners
1 Sep
8th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Soft · 18 runners
16 Aug
4th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
7 Aug
10th
Chepstow
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Adam Caffrey Current Jockey
9.1%
Win rate
2/22
Won / Rode
22.2%
Win rate
2/9
Won / Rode
25%
Win rate
1/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Keithen Kennedy
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
19 1 win, 2 seconds, 1 third, 15 other 16 Aug 5.3%
Dundalk
Galloping
11 4 wins, 1 second, 3 thirds, 3 other 20 Feb 36.4%
Naas
Galloping
4 2 thirds, 2 other 12 Oct 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 14 Jun 50%
Navan
Galloping
2 2 other 7 Jun 0%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 1 Sep 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 2 other 13 Jun 0%
Lingfield Park
Sharp
2 2 other 3 Apr 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
2 2 other 6 Feb 0%
Galway
Tight
2 1 second, 1 other 29 Jul 0%
Chepstow
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Aug 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 31 May 0%