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Nakamura

Nakamura has talent on the right ground but seems to have hit a rough patch. The three-year-old has won just 2 of its 16 races, a win rate of roughly 1 in 8, though that figure flatters a recent dip in form — the horse hasn't tasted victory in over a year, since a win at Cork on 30 September 2025.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
3 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kodi Bear
Mother
Ahab
Trainer
J. P. Murtagh
Owner
Brunabonne Syndicate
Official rating
76

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
16
Career races
2
Wins
12.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
43.8%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

The real story is what Nakamura can do when conditions suit. On soft, muddy ground, the horse lights up: 2 wins from 4 races there means a 50% win rate, which is genuinely impressive and suggests this is a horse that thrives when the track gets heavy. That's a useful trait in Ireland and Britain, where soft ground is common. When jockey Ben Coen is in the saddle, things improve too — he's won 2 of 7 races aboard Nakamura, a 29% win rate together, well above the horse's overall average.

Trainer J. P. Murtagh's Coolaghknock Glebe yard in County Kildare is in fine form, having sent out 53 winners this season, so the infrastructure is there. But Nakamura needs to rediscover its touch. The last six runs tell a story of struggles — a 13th, 14th, seventh, 12th, and a second place — showing the horse can still finish close but is not converting chances into wins. Still active after racing just a day ago, Nakamura remains a horse worth watching on a soft-ground day with the right jockey aboard, but it will need a course and conditions to suit to break into the winner's circle again.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on yielding ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at The Curragh in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Yielding (slightly soft)
Loves
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Unknown
Good (a little give)
Avoids
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
5F – 6½F
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏟 Track shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, long straights
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, tight
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
13th
Roscommon
7f – 1m · Soft · 16 runners
4 Oct
14th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Soft · 24 runners
22 Sep
7th
Listowel
7f – 1m · Yielding · 13 runners
27 Jun
12th
The Curragh
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 17 runners
12 Jun
2nd
Fairyhouse
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
23 May
DNF
The Curragh
7f – 1m · Good · 14 runners
9 May
7th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Good · 15 runners
4 Apr
8th
Cork
5f – 6½f · Soft · 8 runners
11 Oct
4th
Naas
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 14 runners
30 Sep
🏆 Won
Cork
5f – 6½f · Yielding · 13 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
28.6%
Win rate
2/7
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
The Curragh
Galloping
5 5 other 4 Oct 0%
Cork
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 other 4 Apr 50%
Navan
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 third 28 Aug 50%
Roscommon
Sharp
2 1 third, 1 other 12 Oct 0%
Naas
Galloping
2 2 other 9 May 0%
Galway
Tight
1 1 third 31 Jul 0%
Fairyhouse
Galloping
1 1 second 12 Jun 0%
Listowel
Sharp
1 1 other 22 Sep 0%