Cartmel
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Hadwins Handicap Hurdle Race
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old still hunting a breakthrough win after four races, with a recent third at Cartmel as her best effort—but critically, she's never raced on slightly soft ground before, making today an unknown quantity. Her form reads consistently mid-field (3-4-6-6) without ever troubling the winner, and the 69-day absence suggests this is a big ask for a horse still searching for confidence.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 6.0 odds with a compelling story: 2 wins from just 4 races at Cartmel, including back-to-back victories 62 and 94 days ago, plus a narrow 3rd only 42 days back—this is a course specialist in red-hot form. At 14% win rate overall and carrying just 152lbs, he's the only horse combining genuine course form with recent consistency, though his 2 wins came on good ground, not good-to-soft.
Course specialist (2 wins from 4 here)
3 straight top-3 finishes
Market favourite (6.0)
TrackLab Insight
The best all-round record in the field (17% win rate) with a specialist's knowledge of Cartmel—3 wins from 11 races here—and genuinely thrives on soft and good-to-soft ground (2 wins from 7 combined). A 62-day absence is worth noting, but his course familiarity and proven form on today's ground make him the editorial favourite for good reason, and he carries just 165lbs.
Best record on this ground (2 from 7)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
Trainer Quotes
Feb 2024
"We bought him at the sales in the summer and I quite liked the look of him but he didn't have the best of reputations, so he only cost £1,500. We thought we'd try to have some fun with him and he's been a little revelation - it's great to still be able to buy a cheap horse and win races. He won at Cartmel on his first start for us and then bolted up at Kelso. We ran him on ground too soft back there last time. He'll have a campaign through the spring and summer, maybe starting off at Perth and then doing the Cartmel tour. 14-02-24"
TrackLab Insight
The story here is genuinely compelling: a six-year-old who just won his first race at Cartmel this week and is bidding for back-to-back victories at the same track—a rare feat that suggests he's found his niche on this tight, quirky course. However, he's only won once in 12 races and has zero form on good-to-soft ground, so the winning breakthrough may owe more to track familiarity than proven ability on today's conditions.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
A six-year-old returning from a 283-day absence (the longest break in the field by far) with a career record of 0 wins and 0 places from 10 races—she's never won and carries the lowest weight (144lbs) and lowest rating (76, 12lbs below average). The massive layoff, combined with a winless record and soft-ground conditions she's untested on, makes this a significant gamble on a horse showing no evidence of improvement.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Absent 283 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
A nine-year-old with the worst record in the field: winless from 38 races despite 9 places, and he's finished 2nd twice without ever converting—persistent near-misses suggest he lacks that final ounce of class. His recent form (2-4-5) shows he's competitive but never winning, and while he was close second at Market Rasen 55 days ago, he has yet to win at multiple tracks including Hexham.
Winless from 38 career races
TrackLab Insight
A 12% career win rate with all 3 victories locked into Hexham—he simply does not win elsewhere—and today at Cartmel on good-to-soft ground (25% record overall on this going) represents unfamiliar territory. His recent form is weak (6th, 6th, 6th across his last three outings), an 84-day absence looms large, and there's no evidence he can translate his Hexham mastery to another course.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 15 races but boasts 3 straight top-3 finishes at Cartmel (2-3-2), suggesting this course suits him—yet he's never broken through the tape and carries just a 6.6 odds despite that blunt record. His form shows promise without delivery, and a 40-day break between his last race (2nd here) and today means freshness is on his side, but he remains a near-miss specialist.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
A seven-year-old on an upward curve with 3 straight top-3 finishes culminating in a Southwell win 88 days ago, but he's winless on soft and good-to-soft ground (0 from 3 attempts), and his last outing was a poor 11th at Market Rasen 55 days ago. The recent good form came on fast ground; today's slightly soft conditions are precisely where he hasn't delivered.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Nine years old and just finding her feet after a maiden win at Kelso in May, with a second place to match it—but she carries a damaging record on good-to-soft ground (0 wins from 3 attempts) and soft ground (0 from 4). A 77-day absence following a pulled-up finish at Hexham raises questions about soundness, and Derek Fox is a strong pilot but this mare struggles on today's ground type.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
A nine-year-old with the lowest form rating who's been out 108 days—the longest break of the field—and shows only 2 wins from 27 races at a 7% clip. His one strength is heavy ground (1 win from 6), but today's slightly soft conditions don't suit his record, and the recent 4th at Perth was unimpressive. This is a horse running out of time and out of form.
Among the more experienced (27 career races)
TrackLab Insight
Despite being the editorial pick, Dusky Days carries a major red flag: zero wins from 7 starts on good-to-soft ground, today's exact conditions, and his only career Cartmel victory came on fast ground. His recent form at this track reads 8-7-6 across three runs, suggesting he's been beaten into fourth place or worse here repeatedly—this is a gamble on conditions suiting him better than data suggests.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
A seven-year-old mare with minimal experience (4 races, 0 wins) and a single place finish, rated 10lbs below field average—she's the weakest rated runner and is tackling slightly soft ground for the first time. Her recent Perth form (4-3-9) shows she can place occasionally, but the gaps between races and weak record suggest she's outclassed in this competitive field.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
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