The standout here by a distance: top-rated by 40 pounds, unbeaten at Cartmel (1 from 1), and wins roughly 1 in every 3 races—the best win rate in the field. Stepping up two classes is a genuine test, but recent victory at this course 40 days ago, combined with that win rate and course form, makes him the horse to beat despite the odds drift from 1.1 to 1.62.
Top rated by 40lbsSteps up 2 classesOnly course winner (1 from 1 here)Best career win rate in field (1 in 3)
Perfect record of 1 win from 1 race after a victory at Uttoxeter this week, but this is her racecourse debut at Cartmel—a massive step up in competition and a completely different test. Harry Cobden and Faye Bramley's proven yard experience counts for something, but unbeaten records are made to be broken.
Winless from five races but showing some consistency with three places, though his recent form of 3-6-3-8-2 shows wildly erratic performances with nothing concrete. Never tested on slightly soft ground, and while Donald McCain's record is strong, this horse hasn't found the winning button yet.
Four-year-old with one win from seven races and a worrying form line of 11th-5th-8th from his last three starts, including a 33-length beating at Salisbury 98 days ago. He's never raced on slightly soft ground and this looks like a tough comeback after almost three months away.
Zero wins from four races with a run of recent form reading 5-7-7-7, showing zero improvement and no hint of a breakthrough. Raced just a day ago at Perth and finished fifth, but this represents another step up in class with limited evidence he can handle it.
Most experienced runner in the field with 16 races under her belt, but still searching for a first win with just three places across the lot—a damning return rate. Recent form of 8-8-6-5-9 shows inconsistency, she's never run on slightly soft ground, and the long layoff between races suggests she's been hard to place for good reason.
Never raced on slightly soft groundMost experienced (16 runs, field avg 6)
B. Macey(5)
·
J. Mullins
· 4yo
· 10st 13lb
· OR 79
FreshnessForm
1.5
Fresh (146 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
No wins from seven races and absent for 146 days—the longest absence in the field—before returning 20 days ago. Form reads 5-5-6-5-6 with zero places and mounting evidence he's a mid-field runner at best; pairing with jockey Benjamin Macey for the first time adds another question mark.
Wearing tongue strapFresh (69 days off)Won 0 of last 5
TrackLab Insight
Only two career races to his name with fifth and sixth-place finishes, and he's never encountered slightly soft ground like today's conditions. At seven years old with minimal racing experience and a jockey-trainer combo with no wins from 23 races together, this is a gamble on the unknown.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
Fresh (64 days off)Won 0 of last 5Raced here before
TrackLab Insight
Only two career races with finishes of 6th and 5th at Cartmel, showing a one-place improvement but still nowhere near competitive. Beaten 47 and 54 lengths respectively, never raced on slightly soft ground, and the odds of 110.0 reflect a horse with no obvious credentials for this step up.
Never raced on slightly soft groundLightly raced (2 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.