Cartmel
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Mountain Goat Tours Conditional Jockeys' Handicap Hurdle Race
Starts in
Awaiting result
Turf track
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 4.7, Mi Sueno lines up just four days after winning at Stratford and brings three consecutive top-three finishes into this race. He's one of just two horses with a winning record on soft ground (25% win rate), but today's slightly soft conditions and a rapid turnaround after back-to-back short gaps raise questions about freshness.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Runs again after just 4 days
Market favourite (4.7)
TrackLab Insight
This five-year-old is Cartmel's unlikely darling: she's won twice in her last three races there, including 42 days ago, and boasts a 20% win rate over long distances when racing on good ground. The slightly soft going isn't ideal given her zero wins on soft surfaces, but her recent form at this exact track makes her a genuine player.
3 straight top-3 finishes
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by five pounds and the only horse in the field with a proven Cartmel win at this exact distance, Zamond arrives fresher than most after 40 days away. The problem is stark: he's won on good ground but has never managed a victory on soft or good-to-soft surfaces in his career, and today's slightly soft going will test whether that record can change.
Top rated by 5lbs
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (2 from 15)
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
Despite the editorial tip, Mr Lincoln sits second-rated but carries a troubling burden: he hasn't won in over three years and has zero victories from 10 attempts on any ground type similar to today's slightly soft conditions. His last outing at Ayr eight days ago ended in a poor eighth, and while he showed promise at Cartmel 42 days ago when second, the data suggests this isn't his track.
2nd highest rated (OR 95)
TrackLab Insight
Ambassador brings the best win rate in the field at roughly one in every six races and has won over this course and distance previously—plus he's 33% on good-to-soft ground from three attempts. However, his form is ice-cold: a fifth-place finish 40 days ago was preceded by two poor showings, suggesting he may need this outing to wake up.
Has won over this course and distance
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
TrackLab Insight
A recent winner and suited by distances over two miles, Lord Of The Glance looks sharp on paper—but he last raced 113 days ago and has never won on good-to-soft ground in five attempts. The long layoff and ground concerns create genuine question marks despite his improving form.
Mid-range in the market (11.0)
TrackLab Insight
Never raced on slightly soft ground before, Sadies Diamond arrives as an unknown quantity in these conditions after 48 days away. With zero wins from 19 career races and just six places to show for her efforts, she's a maiden in this class stepping into unfamiliar territory.
Never raced on slightly soft ground
TrackLab Insight
At 11 years old with 68 races behind him, Malangen is the field's most experienced horse and a Perth specialist with four wins there. The problem: he's been nowhere lately, finishing out of the places at Perth 48 days ago, and he's never won on good-to-soft ground in 14 attempts. This track and ground profile work against him.
Most experienced (68 runs, field avg 31)
TrackLab Insight
In 35 career races, Masekela has never crossed the line first, yet he's placed in two of his last three outings at Cartmel—close enough to sniff the finish without winning it. The slightly soft ground won't help his cause given the field's strong performers, but his recent consistency at this track makes him a threat to spoil the favourite.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
After 41 races, Mr Globalist remains winless and has never tasted victory at Cartmel despite six attempts there. His recent form at Cartmel shows minor placings but nothing to suggest a breakthrough is coming, and there's no data to indicate he's suited by slightly soft ground.
Winless from 41 career races
TrackLab Insight
Jeepydoff Meel arrives carrying the lightest weight but hasn't raced for 241 days—the longest absence in the field by a significant margin. With just one win in 23 races across a seven-year career and zero victories on soft ground, the long layoff combined with poor ground form makes this a stiff task.
Carries lowest weight in field
Absent 241 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated in the field at 15 pounds below average, Hopjes has managed just one placed finish from 15 career races and has never won. Recent form shows him finishing fifth, seventh, and ninth at Stratford and Worcester—there's no evidence he belongs in this contest.
Lowest rated, 15lbs below average
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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