Aintree
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Disco Dave's 60th Birthday Bash Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Starts in
24h 56min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has been off the track for 242 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- D. Noonan has won 7.5% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- A 0% record at this course for B. Clarke. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 16.1% overall win rate for T. Ellis. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- A 6.7% record at this course for T. Ellis. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
£1 wins £14 · 12 Solid chance
K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls wins 50% of their races at this course
12
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls wins 50% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- C. Gethings wins 9.7% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
£1 wins £10 · 11 Could surprise
H. Derham has won 21.1% of their races in their career
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. Derham has won 21.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- There is £3,812 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- A 0% record at this course for H. Derham. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- K. Woods has won 11.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- The Good To Soft ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 3% record at this course for A. Hales. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
£1 wins £5 · 9 Could surprise
G. Sheehan has won 16.9% of their races in their career
9
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Sheehan has won 16.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- No wins at this distance yet. We cannot tell if the race is too long, too short or just right.
- J. Snowden wins only 5.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is happy on Good To Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- A prize fund of £3,812 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- L. Russell & Michael Scudamore wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's ground is Good To Soft, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- A prize fund of £3,812 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
- C. Williams wins only 7.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.