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Aintree

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Handicap Steeple Chase (Leg 7 Of The Stayers' Veterans' Steeple Chase Series)
Starts in
23h 59min
Jumps race · big fences · weighted to be fair Underrated horse: Monbeg Genius +1 About 3.1 miles Slightly soft ground High-level race 5 runners £18,210 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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1 Monbeg Genius Underrated horse
J. O'Neill Jr. · J. & A.J. O'Neill · 10yo · 12st 0lb · Official rating 142
£1 wins £3.33 · 24 Strong chance
A 5-runner race works well for this horse
Headgear Freshness
24
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 10/3
£1 wins £3.33 · 24 Strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.

How odds work
✓ Field size ✓ Horse record at this distance ✓ Jockey overall win rate
Wearing blinkers Back after 202 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 29% of runs)
Why this score
  • A 5-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
  • Has raced 7 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • D. Hamer wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 303 days off Won 1 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • Not enough recent runners for P. Nicholls to judge their current form.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 174 days off Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • A 3m 1f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
  • 5 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • A 7.1% record at this course for C. Williams. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing visor Back after 266 days off Won 1 of last 5 Has won on this ground
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 3m 1f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • This is a 5-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 4.3% career win rate for S. Thomson. That is below the top trainers.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Aintree tomorrow ?