UK time :

Aintree

·
Handicap Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
24h 22min
Jumps race · low hurdles · weighted to be fair About 2.5 miles Slightly soft ground High-level race 13 runners £15,609 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/4 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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H. Skelton · D. Skelton · 5yo · 11st 0lb · Official rating 122
£1 wins £1.38 · 32 Strong chance
An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton
Class Freshness
32
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 11/8
£1 wins £1.38 · 32 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.38 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer overall win rate ✓ Horse record on this going ✓ Trainer overall starts
Stepping up to a harder race Back after 218 days off Won 2 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • A 33% win rate on this ground from 3 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 185 days off Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • A 22.7% overall win rate for P. Nicholls. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 215 days off Won 2 of last 5 Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • A 50% win rate at this course for K. Bailey & Mat Nicholls. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 177 days off Won 2 of last 5 Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Has won over this distance 2 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
  • H. Derham wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 221 days off Won 3 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • K. Woollacott wins 25% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • A 15.8% overall win rate for B. Jones. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 183 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • Finishing 2nd last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
  • A 4.5% career win rate for J. Quinlan. That is on the low side and could matter today.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 29% of runs)
Why this score
  • A 29% win rate on this ground from 7 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing tongue strap Back after 189 days off Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • Wins 43% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
  • The average finish over the last three races is strong. Steady results like that are a good sign.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Has won on this ground Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • Came 13th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Back after 193 days off Won 3 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 50% of runs)
Why this score
  • A 32.3% win rate at this course for M. Rowley. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • A 50% win rate on this ground from 4 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time Likes this ground (wins 25% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • An 11.8% overall win rate for J. Tudor. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • Has won here 1 time in 2 visits. That record at this course is a good sign.
  • C. Williams has a 7.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 219 days off Won 2 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 40% of runs) Won at this distance 2 times
Why this score
  • This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 40% win rate from 5 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
  • An official rating of 126 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
  • B. Hughes wins only 9.4% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.