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Aintree

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Jack Ryder 18th Birthday Maiden Hurdle Race (GBB Race)
Starts in
22h 6min
Jumps race · low hurdles About 2.5 miles Slightly soft ground Standard race 10 runners £5,203 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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5 Order On Time
S. Twiston-Davies · P. Nicholls · 5yo · 11st 4lb
£1 wins £1.25 · 26 Strong chance
Very little experience on today's ground
Freshness Form
26
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/4
£1 wins £1.25 · 26 Strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.25 back.

How odds work
✓ Horse record on this going ✓ Trainer overall win rate ✓ Trainer overall starts
Back after 206 days off Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • A 22.7% overall win rate for P. Nicholls. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • P. Hobbs & Johnson White has won 15.4% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • There is £5,203 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
  • S. Houlihan has a 6.4% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 232 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • A 14.8% record at this course for D. Skelton. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing tongue strap Back after 190 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • 2m 4f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • With £5,203 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
  • L. Russell & Michael Scudamore has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • A 14.2% overall win rate for R. Jefferson. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • R. Jefferson has a 5.6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 190 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • M. Rowley wins 32.3% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • C. Deutsch wins 13.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • 10 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.

How odds work
Back after 197 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Likes this ground (wins 33% of runs)
Why this score
  • 2m 4f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
  • There is £5,203 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
  • A 6.7% record at this course for T. Ellis. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £21.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
  • A prize fund of £5,203 is healthy. When trainers aim at valuable races, they usually have faith in their runner.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • An 18.7% overall win rate for D. Skelton. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
  • D. Skelton has a 14.8% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 647 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • Today's ground is Good To Soft, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
  • R. Mitford-Slade has a 6.5% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
More at Aintree tomorrow ?