Aintree
·
Old Roan Limited Handicap Steeple Chase (Grade 2) (GBB Race)
Starts in
51h 19min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Why this score
- Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- A 15-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Why this score
- Handles this ground well, with 67% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
- Has won over this distance 2 times. We know the horse can last this far, which removes one big question.
- Only 13th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
Why this score
- A 25% win rate at this course for J. Parkinson & Sue Smith. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Finishing 1st last time is encouraging. A horse that finishes well is usually in good shape.
- An average finish of 3.7 over recent runs. Finishing in the middle or further back so often counts against the horse.
Why this score
- D. Skelton has won 18.7% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Why this score
- Has not raced for 194 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Why this score
- Has not raced for 183 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- A 12.8% overall win rate for P. O'Brien. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- H. Derham wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- G. Sheehan has won 16.9% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- An 8.2% win rate at this course for G. Sheehan. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- J. Snowden wins only 5.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Why this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- 15 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Why this score
- Has been off the track for 186 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
- 2m 4f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- A 0% record at this course for L. J. Morgan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
Why this score
- Not enough recent rides for The jockey to judge their form. That is not good or bad news.
Why this score
- There is little recent data for The jockey. Without enough rides, it is hard to judge their form.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.