What makes those numbers more meaningful is the direction of travel. Last year the operation was winning around 1 in every 12 or 13 races — an 8% win rate that suggested a yard still settling in. This season that figure has nearly doubled to 15%. Improvement at that rate is not a fluke; it points to a setup that is learning quickly and placing horses in the right races.
The horse that best captures what this team can do when everything clicks is Gatineau Park, who has won 2 of the 4 races the yard has entered him in. Winning half your races with one horse is the kind of return most stables can only dream about, and it suggests a real understanding between trainer and horse in terms of race selection and preparation.
Central to the yard's week-to-week success is jockey Tom Bellamy, who has become the go-to rider here. Across 95 rides together, Bellamy and the Bailey-Nicholls team have combined for 20 wins — that's 1 in every 4 to 5 races, a 21% win rate that puts it well above the stable's overall average. When Bellamy is in the saddle for this yard, the chances of visiting the winner's enclosure rise sharply. That kind of jockey-trainer understanding takes time to build, and they appear to have built it faster than most.
Thirty-six career winners in just over a year is not a headline-grabbing total, but context matters. This is a partnership that started from scratch in January 2025 and has already found a reliable jockey, a standout horse, and a win rate that is climbing in the right direction. The story here is not where they are — it is how quickly they are getting somewhere.
| Course | Races | Wins | Win rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Warwick | 18 | 1 | 5.6% |
| Worcester | 16 | 1 | 6.2% |
| Uttoxeter | 15 | 3 | 20% |
| Huntingdon | 14 | 3 | 21.4% |
| Chepstow | 14 | 1 | 7.1% |
| Ffos Las | 14 | 0 | 0% |
| Doncaster | 13 | 2 | 15.4% |
| hereford | 12 | 4 | 33.3% |
| Kempton Park | 11 | 1 | 9.1% |
| Ludlow | 9 | 2 | 22.2% |
| Cheltenham | 8 | 2 | 25% |
| Market Rasen | 8 | 1 | 12.5% |
| Newbury | 5 | 2 | 40% |
| Fontwell Park | 5 | 2 | 40% |
| Wincanton | 5 | 1 | 20% |
| Stratford-on-Avon | 5 | 0 | 0% |
| Lingfield Park | 4 | 1 | 25% |
| Southwell | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Exeter | 4 | 0 | 0% |
| Haydock Park | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Leicester | 3 | 1 | 33.3% |
| Aintree | 2 | 1 | 50% |
| Windsor | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Sandown Park | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Bangor-on-Dee | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Ascot | 2 | 0 | 0% |
| Ayr | 1 | 1 | 100% |
| Sedgefield | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Newmarket | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Nottingham | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Punchestown | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Newton Abbot | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Taunton | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Wetherby | 1 | 0 | 0% |
| Plumpton | 1 | 0 | 0% |