Until Dawn

What's interesting is when and where Until Dawn has won. Both victories came in quick succession — Newcastle in January 2025 and Southwell in February 2025 — suggesting the horse hit a genuine purple patch early in the year. Since then, though, it has gone 16 months without winning, which is a long wait for any horse, let alone one still only four years old.

The partnership with jockey Tom Eaves stands out as one of the more encouraging threads in this story. Together they have won 2 from 8 races — that's 1 in every 4, a notably better return than the horse manages with other riders. That kind of chemistry between horse and jockey genuinely matters, and it hints that Until Dawn can perform when conditions are right.

Ground conditions matter too. On normal ground, Until Dawn wins 2 from 7 races — 1 in every 3 or 4 — which is a meaningful edge. The horse also looks best kept to short, sharp sprint races under five furlongs, winning 1 from 4 at that trip. What's harder to explain is its record at Class 5 level — the tier where it races most often — where it has drawn a blank in all five attempts. Winning at the two levels below the top but struggling at the bread-and-butter level is an odd quirk, and one the team at Alan Brown's Yedingham yard will be keen to resolve.

Brown's stable has sent out 10 winners this season, so the operation is ticking over nicely. Until Dawn raced just yesterday, which means fitness is not the concern. The question is whether the horse can rediscover whatever clicked at Newcastle and Southwell back in the winter — and whether Tom Eaves will be in the saddle when it does.