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Until Dawn

At four years old, Until Dawn has shown enough promise to suggest there's a win or two still in the locker — but its recent form makes grim reading. Two wins and three places from 14 races overall gives a win rate of roughly 1 in every 7 outings, and the horse hasn't troubled the judge since a victory at Southwell back in February 2025, now over 15 months ago. The last six runs read 7-8-5-9-5-7, which is the kind of sequence that tests a trainer's patience.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Filly
Colour
Bay
Father
Invincible Army
Mother
Rush Of Blood
Trainer
Owner
F Reay, S McMillan & S Pedersen
Rating
62

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
14
Career races
2
Wins
14.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
21.4%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

Those two wins do tell you something useful, though. Both came on normal ground, and Until Dawn has won 2 of its 7 races in those conditions — that's nearly 1 in 3, which is a genuinely solid record when the track is riding as it should. Put it on wet or fast ground and the picture is considerably less impressive. Similarly, at the shorter, sharper sprint distances under five furlongs, it has won 1 from 4, suggesting a horse that likes to get things over quickly rather than grind it out.

Tom Eaves has been the regular partner here, and the pair have a decent record together — 2 wins from 8 races is 1 in every 4, which is a meaningful connection in a sport where chemistry between horse and jockey genuinely matters. That said, both of those wins now feel a long time ago, and the current losing run stretches across all six of Until Dawn's most recent outings.

One puzzling detail is that Until Dawn has raced most frequently at Class 5 level — the bread-and-butter tier of British racing — and has yet to win a single one of those five races. Both victories came elsewhere. That's a quirk worth noting: the horse has apparently found its wins at the fringes of its usual routine rather than in the races it enters most often. Trainer Alan Brown, based at Yedingham in North Yorkshire, has had nine winners on the board this season, so the yard is in decent working order. Until Dawn raced just yesterday, which means the yard will be watching the next entry with interest — and perhaps hoping that normal ground and a sprint trip can coax one more big effort out of a horse that has gone quiet for too long.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 7 starts (29%)
Well suited by Sprint (< 5f) distances: 25% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good ground: 0 wins from 6 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good (firm-ish)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
Sprint (< 5F)
Loves
5F – 6½F
Ok
🏅 Competition Level
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Avoids
Class 6 (grassroots)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Left-handed, long straights
Loves
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Left-handed, tight turns
Unknown
Right-handed, long straights
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
23 Apr
7th
Beverley
5f – 6½f · Good · 9 runners
21 Nov
8th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 11 runners
3 Nov
5th
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 5 runners
20 Oct
9th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 9 runners
2 May
5th
Musselburgh
5f – 6½f · Good · 5 runners
9 Apr
7th
Catterick Bridge
5f – 6½f · Good · 14 runners
19 Mar
2nd
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 8 runners
6 Feb
🏆 Won
Southwell
Sprint (< 5f) · Standard · 9 runners
21 Jan
🏆 Won
Newcastle
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners
4 Jan
4th
Wolverhampton
5f – 6½f · Standard · 8 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
25%
Win rate
2/8
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shay Farmer
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Cian MacRedmond
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Southwell
Galloping
4 1 win, 1 second, 2 other 21 Nov 25%
Beverley
Undulating
2 2 other 23 Apr 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 2 other 20 Oct 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 win 21 Jan 100%
Naas
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Jun 0%
Musselburgh
Sharp
1 1 other 2 May 0%
Cork
Galloping
1 1 other 26 Jul 0%
Catterick Bridge
Sharp
1 1 other 9 Apr 0%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
1 1 other 30 Sep 0%