UK time :

Kelpie Grey

Kelpie Grey is a six-year-old who runs with the kind of relentless energy that has left him nursing injuries — his trainer Jim Goldie recently had to insert a screw into a stress fracture after the horse, true to form, went flat out and damaged himself in the process. That single detail tells you everything about his temperament: he is not a horse that knows how to coast. Goldie describes him as the opposite of his laid-back yard companions, an improving, athletic type who gives everything he has got, and right now he is several weeks away from returning to the track after his recovery.Based on TrackLab's analysis
Quick facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Malelane
Trainer
Owner
Paul Stewart
Official rating
56

📊 Key numbers

Career totals for this horse
42
Career races
4
Wins
9.5%
Win rate
avg ~10%
33.3%
Top-3 rate
avg ~30%
6 days
Since last race

🔍 Full analysis

Our model's view, based on this horse's career and recent runs
TrackLab's detailed breakdown

When Kelpie Grey does race, he has clear preferences. He wins roughly one in every six or seven races overall — four victories from 42 starts — but those wins cluster around specific conditions and distances. On normal ground he is significantly sharper, winning 2 of his 13 races there; ask him to run on fast, dry ground and he becomes vulnerable. Over middle distances of seven furlongs to a mile he has won 3 of 19 races, markedly better than his form at shorter or longer trips. Most strikingly, he is a Musselburgh specialist, having won twice from just eight starts there — a genuine course affinity that suggests he could reward followers who back him specifically when he returns to that Scottish track. His last win came at Ayr on 14 May 2024, nearly two and a half years ago, so he arrives back from injury with something to prove.

Paul Mulrennan, his most frequent partner, has a notably better record aboard him than the horse manages overall: three wins from 16 races together, roughly one in five, against his career average of one in ten. That 19% win rate hints at genuine partnership value. Jim Goldie's yard at Uplawmoor has been in rich form this season, sending out 88 winners, so Kelpie Grey will return to an outfit in full flight. When the ground softens and he is pointed at courses and distances where he has proven himself, he could yet surprise those who have written him off during his long absence.

⚡ Strengths and risks

What helps this horse and what to watch out for
✓ What works in their favour
✔ Excellent record on good ground: 2 wins from 13 starts (15%)
✔ Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 4 starts (25%)
✔ Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 16% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
⚠ Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 9 starts
⚠ Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts
⚠ Yet to win at Hamilton Park in 5 attempts

🎯 Where this horse runs best

Results split by ground, distance, race level and track shape
🌧 Ground
Good (a little give)
Loves
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good to soft (some give)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to firm (fairly firm)
Avoids
📏 Race distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Race level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
12 Oct
9th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
30 Sep
3rd
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 11 runners
29 Sep
2nd
Ayr
7f – 1m · Heavy · 11 runners
18 Sep
3rd
Ayr
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 11 runners
17 Sep
7th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Soft · 14 runners
2 Sep
7th
Hamilton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Soft · 10 runners
10 Aug
11th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
8 Aug
8th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
27 Jul
6th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
6 Jul
13th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners

🏇 Jockeys

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, most rides first
Paul Mulrennan Current jockey
18.8%
Win rate
3/16
Wins / rides
Amie Waugh
0%
Win rate
0/3
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/2
Wins / rides
100%
Win rate
1/1
Wins / rides
Shannon Watts
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Wins / rides

🏟 Course record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast runWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
22 2 wins, 5 seconds, 3 thirds, 12 other 29 Sep 9.1%
Musselburgh
Sharp
8 2 wins, 1 third, 5 other 12 Oct 25%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
5 1 second, 4 other 2 Sep 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 2 other 21 Aug 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Nov 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Aug 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%