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Kelpie Grey

Kelpie Grey is a horse that runs on nerve, the kind that gives his trainer Jim Goldie both hope and headaches. At six years old, the horse has won just four of his 36 races — a win rate of roughly one in every nine outings — but those statistics miss what makes him interesting. He is a genuine course specialist at Musselburgh, where he has won twice from six races, and when the ground is soft or muddy and the distance suits him between seven furlongs and a mile, he becomes a different prospect altogether. Over that range he has won three of 15 races, a 20% win rate that suggests real class when conditions and the track align.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
6 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Grey
Father
Havana Grey
Mother
Malelane
Trainer
Owner
Paul Stewart
Rating
62

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
36
Career races
4
Wins
11.1%
Win rate
avg ~10%
30.6%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🏁 Next Race

Today
Hamilton
About 1 mile · Soft, spongy ground · 10 runners

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

His most recent victory came on 14 May 2024 at Ayr, but that success is now nearly two years in the past, and his last six races have yielded nothing but placed finishes. The reasons for that drought are physical, not mysterious. Earlier this year Goldie discovered that Kelpie Grey had given himself a stress fracture — a sign of the horse's aggressive racing style — and elected to have a screw surgically inserted to stabilize the injury. By early May 2025, the trainer reported the horse was recovering well and seemed sound again. Goldie described him as "improving" and "athletic," but also brutally honest about the conditions he needs. On faster, firmer ground, Kelpie Grey is vulnerable; with cut and give underfoot, he becomes what Goldie calls "tasty."

When Paul Mulrennan is in the saddle, the partnership sharpens considerably. Together they have won three of 16 races — a 19% win rate — which is notably better than the horse's overall record. Yet he has rarely been competitive at the highest levels. In Class 4 races, the bread-and-butter category for him, he has managed just one win from 15 attempts, a harsh reminder that even on his good days he is a competitive horse rather than a standout. Goldie indicated in spring 2025 that Kelpie Grey was roughly six weeks away from racing again. When he does return, it will be worth following his form closely at Musselburgh on a soft surface — that is where he genuinely threatens.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on heavy ground: 1 wins from 3 starts (33%)
Well suited by 7f – 1m distances: 20% win rate
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on soft ground: 0 wins from 6 starts
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 5 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Heavy (very wet)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to soft (some give)
Standard (all-weather)
Unknown
Soft (muddy)
Avoids
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
7F – 1M
Loves
1M1F – 1M2F
5F – 6½F
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Unknown
Class 3 (mid-level)
Avoids
Class 4 (standard)
Ok
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
Class 6 (grassroots)
Unknown
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, tight turns
Loves
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, hilly
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
10 Aug
11th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Soft · 13 runners
8 Aug
8th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good · 13 runners
27 Jul
6th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
6 Jul
13th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Good · 18 runners
20 Jun
6th
Ayr
5f – 6½f · Soft · 14 runners
4 Jun
8th
Hamilton Park
5f – 6½f · Good · 10 runners
20 May
5th
Ayr
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 9 runners
12 Apr
6th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Good · 12 runners
5 Nov
5th
Musselburgh
7f – 1m · Soft · 10 runners
25 Oct
15th
Doncaster
7f – 1m · Heavy · 15 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Paul Mulrennan Current Jockey
18.8%
Win rate
3/16
Won / Rode
Amie Waugh
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/2
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Shannon Watts
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
Rhys Elliott
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Ayr
Galloping
19 2 wins, 4 seconds, 2 thirds, 11 other 10 Aug 10.5%
Musselburgh
Sharp
6 2 wins, 4 other 12 Apr 33.3%
Hamilton Park
Sharp
4 1 second, 3 other 4 Jun 0%
Carlisle
Undulating
2 2 other 21 Aug 0%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
1 1 other 17 Aug 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 2 Nov 0%
Haydock Park
Galloping
1 1 other 7 Sep 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 25 Oct 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 other 30 Jul 0%