Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Wave Rock is the market favourite and it's easy to see why: she won at Wolverhampton just 21 days ago and finished second here three weeks before that, giving her the freshest and most relevant form in the race. She carries the lowest official rating in the field — four pounds below the average — which means the handicapper hasn't yet caught up with her recent improvement. Top jockey Oisin Murphy takes the ride, and the trainer-jockey combination has clicked in 3 of their 14 races together.
Won at this course & distanceWon 1 of last 5Won here 3 timesLoves this ground (40% win rate)Won at this distance 3 times
TrackLab Insight
Romantic Spirit is the standout course specialist in this field, winning 3 of her 6 visits to Wolverhampton — including over this exact course and distance. She also wins roughly 1 in 4 races overall and has her best record on this type of normal ground, making the conditions a perfect fit. The last two runs were modest, but the editorial verdict backs her, and her record here is simply too strong to ignore.
Course specialist (3 wins from 6 here)Has won over this course and distanceBest record on this ground (4 from 10)Best record at this trip (3 from 7)
Won 1 of last 5Raced here beforeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Silky Lass is another of the joint highest-rated in the field at OR 68 and ran a close third at Wolverhampton just 21 days ago, so she already knows this track. A win at Newcastle earlier in the season proves she can get the job done, and five top-three finishes from seven races shows admirable consistency for a three-year-old. She's up against the returning Wave Rock who also ran here recently, but Silky Lass's higher rating gives her a case on paper.
T. Kiely-Marshall(5)
·
J. Ramsden
· 5yo
· 9st 9lb
· OR 62
C&DFreshness
9.6
Won at this course & distanceFresh (93 days off)Won 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Imola is the most experienced horse in the field by a wide margin — 27 races compared to a field average of 11 — and she has actually won over this exact course and distance before. Two wins from 27 races is a modest return, but her most recent form includes a win at Wolverhampton just over three months ago, so she knows how to get the job done here. The unknown is her last run at Southwell, where the result is unavailable, making it hard to judge how sharp she is right now.
Has won over this course and distanceMost experienced (27 runs, field avg 11)
Wearing tongue strapWon 1 of last 5Won here 1 timeHas won on this ground
TrackLab Insight
Pearly Squirrel arrives here with three top-three finishes in a row, including a third at Wolverhampton just over seven weeks ago, which shows she handles this track. With 23 races under her belt she's one of the most experienced horses in the field, though two wins from all those outings suggests she finds it hard to cross the line first. The concern is that her best form has come on fast ground, and normal conditions here are a step away from that.
La Kosmos arrives as the lightest-weighted horse in the field, which in a race like this means the handicapper considers her the least accomplished — and three races with no wins or places backs that up. She hasn't raced for four months, and this is the first time she'll partner this jockey, so there are plenty of unknowns. With finishes of 7th, 4th, and 6th to her name, she needs a significant step forward to get involved here.
Carries lowest weight in fieldLightly raced (3 career races)
The big question here is fitness: Suhub hasn't raced for over eight months, the longest absence of any horse in this field. When last seen, the form was poor — beaten 45 lengths at Chelmsford — though the two runs before that showed genuine promise with a second and a third. Seven races and no wins tells its own story, but this is a horse that needs to prove it's ready to run, not just turn up.
Absent 242 days (longest in field)Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
Quilt is lightly raced with just four outings, so there's still room for improvement, and a third place at Bath 19 days ago shows she's fit and running. She carries a decent rating of OR 66 for a horse yet to win, and the trainer-jockey combination of Ed Walker and Tom Marquand has produced nearly 50 wins together — one of the stronger pairings in this field. That said, no wins from four races and a draw in stall 9 — where high-drawn horses here win less often — means she has things to prove.
Alkumatic Jo Jo is one of the joint highest-rated horses in the field at OR 68, and ran a clear-cut second at Haydock just 10 days ago, showing she's in good form right now. Seven races in and still no win, but she's finished in the top four every single time — a record of consistent placing that few rivals here can match. The favourable draw in stall 1, where low-drawn horses perform best at this course and distance, gives her an extra edge.
Phaedra has three career wins and ran a promising second at Southwell just two months ago, so the raw ability is there. The worry is that she has never won on the normal ground conditions on offer today — zero wins from nine races on this surface — and her best form has come on fast, dry ground. The wide draw in stall 10 doesn't help either, as horses drawn high at this course and distance win less often.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Semper Femina has only raced three times and has never run on normal ground before — a genuine unknown heading into today. Her last two runs were poor, beaten 13 and 14 lengths, though she did show promise on debut with a second place. With only three runs to go on, she's one of the hardest horses in this field to assess, and the step up to normal conditions adds another layer of uncertainty.
Never raced on normal groundLightly raced (3 career races)
How do odds work?The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.