Jonny Peate

This season, though, has been a grind. Sixteen winners from 338 races works out to roughly 1 in every 21 rides, a 5% win rate that represents a step back from last year's 7%. To put that in perspective, a busy jockey taking 338 rides is doing plenty of work — the question is whether the horses are good enough to convert that opportunity into wins. Right now, the numbers suggest Peate is riding a lot of horses that need things to go perfectly to win, and things rarely go perfectly.

His most regular relationship is with trainer J R Jenkins, where he has ridden 65 times for 3 winners — again that same 5% conversion. It is not a stat that jumps off the page, but longevity of partnership matters in racing. Trainers do not keep putting a jockey up for 65 rides without believing in them, and that kind of sustained trust is genuinely worth something early in a career.

The most interesting thread to follow with Peate is whether the dip in form this season is a blip or a trend. Going from 7% to 5% might sound like a small shift, but across hundreds of rides it is a meaningful difference — roughly six or seven winners fewer than you would have expected at last year's rate. At 111 career winners and four years in, he is at exactly the stage where young jockeys either push on to the next level or find themselves stuck. The next twelve months will tell a lot.