Wolverhampton
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Tapeta surface
All Runners — sorted by TrackLab Score
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
This is the standout course specialist in the field: 3 wins from 9 races here at Wolverhampton, and the best overall win rate of any runner — winning roughly 1 in every 4 races across a career of 36 outings. The editorial verdict picks Winchurch over this one, and 90 days off the track is a concern, but the combination of course record and distance record (8 wins at this trip) makes this horse one of the most compelling profiles on paper.
Course specialist (3 wins from 9 here)
Best record at this trip (8 from 21)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Trainer Quotes
Apr 2025
"He was my all-weather winter horse. He won six races last year but then got an injury. He won horse of the month in December, getting a rather nice bonus, and had a two-month holiday after January. He's just started back in cantering and I'm looking forward to seeing him back on the turf. He's a 6f/7f horse and is owned by a great group of people who love him. 30-04-25"
Good Value
TrackLab Insight
The best record on this specific ground type in the field — 2 wins from just 3 races on normal conditions — which is a genuinely eye-catching stat that separates this horse from most rivals. The problem is that recent form shows three consecutive mid-field finishes, and the jockey is riding this horse for the very first time. Surface form is the one reason to take a second look.
Best record on this ground (2 from 3)
TrackLab Insight
The standout marker here is a placed finish in 2 of the last 3 races, but it's worth noting that the most recent of those 3 runs was a 16th-place finish at Ripon — so the form is inconsistent at best. No wins on this surface type from 4 attempts, and a high draw (9) at a course where high draws historically underperform. The data doesn't make a compelling case.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection as the nap, praised for a near career-best run on this Tapeta surface last time out. Wins roughly 1 in 6 races overall, but the key stat is a 40% win rate on surfaces similar to today's — 2 wins from just 5 races on this type of ground. The one worry is five attempts at Wolverhampton without a win, but current form and surface suitability make this the horse to beat according to the race preview.
Placed in 2 of last 3 races
TrackLab Insight
Won at Nottingham last time out and arrives as market favourite, but there's a catch: this course's normal surface conditions have produced just 1 win from 14 attempts for this horse, compared to a strong record on fast, dry ground. The market drifting from much shorter odds suggests some punters have noticed that concern. Form is trending upward, but the surface here is a genuine question mark.
Market favourite (5.0)
TrackLab Insight
One of only a handful of course winners in this field, having won here at Wolverhampton before — and that experience matters on this particular surface. However, back-to-back seventh-place finishes suggest he's well below his best right now, and the jockey-trainer partnership wins roughly 1 in every 36 races together, which is poor. Hard to get excited despite the course form.
One of few course winners (1 wins here)
TrackLab Insight
This horse has never raced on normal surface conditions before, making today's experience a complete unknown — that's a significant red flag in a competitive field. Both career wins have come on wetter ground, and recent form shows a seventh and an eighth in the last two runs. Too many unknowns to be confident.
Never raced on normal ground
TrackLab Insight
Alongside Havana Sky, one of only two horses in this field with 3 wins at Wolverhampton — and the most experienced runner here by some distance, with 53 career races compared to a field average of 27. Won here 41 days ago and finished third here just 27 days ago, so course form is live and recent. The big negative is a high draw in stall 12 at a course where high draws win only 7% of the time.
Course specialist (3 wins from 10 here)
Most experienced (53 runs, field avg 27)
TrackLab Insight
Both career wins have come at Kempton, and both of the last two runs have been poor ninth and eleventh-place finishes. Racing off the lowest official rating among the main market contenders and drawn in stall 13 — the worst position at this course — this horse faces an uphill task from the off. A new jockey pairing adds further uncertainty.
Outsider at 15.0
TrackLab Insight
Three of three career wins have come at Newcastle, making this horse a genuine specialist there but an unproven quantity anywhere else — including here. An eighth-place finish last time out at Lingfield was poor, and there are no wins on this surface type from 3 attempts. Unless Wolverhampton suddenly becomes a second home, the form and surface record are against it.
Mid-range in the market (9.5)
TrackLab Insight
Returning after 133 days off — the longest absence in the entire field — and hasn't won on any variation of this surface type across multiple attempts. With just 2 wins from 28 career races and a prolonged absence to overcome, this looks like a horse that will need everything to go right. Difficult to recommend.
Absent 133 days (longest in field)
TrackLab Insight
The standout marker flags three consecutive top-three finishes in the form, but the last two runs — an 11th and a 10th — paint a very different picture, suggesting that sequence is now well in the past. At seven years old, the most experienced horse alongside Daytona Lady, but there's no winning record on this type of surface and no wins at Wolverhampton in the data. Hard to make a case here.
3 straight top-3 finishes
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The first number is what you win, the second is what you bet. So 5/2 means you win £5 for every £2. 4/1 means you win £4 for every £1. The bigger the first number, the less likely bookmakers think the horse will win — but the more you'd win if it does.
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