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Wolverhampton

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Wolverhampton (AW)
Awaiting result
Flat race · weights set to make it fair Very underrated horse: The Lost King About 1 mile Unknown High-level race 12 runners
Tapeta surface
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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The Lost King Very underrated horse
O. Murphy · A. Balding · 4yo · 9st 0lb · Official rating 92
£1 wins £7 · 25 Strong chance
A. Balding's horses finish their races 71.4% of the time
Form
25
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 7/1
£1 wins £7 · 25 Strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer form ✓ Jockey overall win rate ✓ Jockey wins at this course
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • A. Balding's horses finish their races 71.4% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • With a 19.8% win rate overall, O. Murphy is one of the more dependable riders.
  • 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 261 days off Jockey in form (1 win in 14 days) Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • H. Eustace's runners finish 75% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • Finished 2nd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • H. Eustace wins only 6.1% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Jockey in form (10 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • E. Dunlop's runners finish 75% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • With a 15.2% win rate overall, B. Loughnane is one of the more dependable riders.
  • E. Dunlop has an 11.8% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing cheekpieces Back after 108 days off Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • W. Haggas's horses finish 25% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • C. Fallon wins 14.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • Set to carry 126 lbs. It is like running with a heavy backpack. The more you carry, the harder it gets.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.

How odds work
Has won at this course and distance Wearing cheekpieces Jockey in form (2 wins in 14 days) Won 0 of last 5 Won here 1 time
Why this score
  • C. Cox's runners finish 100% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • R. Ryan wins 16.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • A 13.4% career win rate for C. Cox. That is below the top trainers.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back quickly after its last run Won 2 of last 5
Why this score
  • A. Balding's runners finish 71.4% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • P. J. McDonald wins 12.5% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
  • 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • J. Portman's horses finish 33.3% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Finished 3rd in the last race, which is a good result. A good last run suggests the horse is in good shape.
  • This is a 12-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Back quickly after its last run Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • M. Appleby's horses finish their races 47.1% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
  • A 12.8% record at this course for M. Appleby. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing blinkers Back after 94 days off Won 2 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • R. Hannon's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • Came home 1st last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
  • A 12-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.

How odds work
Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • K. R. Burke's horses finish their races 71.4% of the time. That is a reliable stable. Horses that finish are usually fit and well prepared.
  • A 13.8% win rate at this course for K. R. Burke. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • K. R. Burke has a 16.1% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • I. Williams's runners finish 59.5% of their races. Trainers whose horses finish often tend to have them fit and ready.
  • A 14.6% overall win rate for E. Greatrex. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
  • I. Williams wins only 13.5% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 146 days off Won 1 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Dr R. Newland & Jamie Insole's horses finish 50% of their races. That steady record suggests good preparation.
  • J. Doughty has won 12.1% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
  • 12 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.