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First Principle

There's a horse right now in the William Haggas yard at Newmarket who wins half its races at the distances it likes — and that's a number worth paying attention to. First Principle is a 4-year-old with four wins and seven places from just 12 races, meaning it has finished in the top three in nearly every race it has entered. That 33% win rate — roughly 1 in every 3 races — is seriously impressive at the level this horse competes at.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kingman
Mother
Guilty Twelve
Owner
Merry Fox Stud Limited
Rating
95

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
12
Career races
4
Wins
33.3%
Win rate
avg ~10%
58.3%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The key to First Principle is finding the right trip. Over a mile and one furlong to a mile and two furlongs, it has won four of eight races — exactly half. That's not a coincidence; it's a horse that has found its sweet spot, and when conditions suit, it delivers. On normal ground it goes two from four, again that 50% figure, suggesting it wants a fair, consistent surface rather than anything too testing underfoot.

The quality is there too. Most of First Principle's racing has come at Class 2 level — one rung below the very best races in Britain — and it has won at that level, including a Class 2 success at Southwell in October 2025. Winning once from four attempts at that grade sounds modest on paper, but the fact that it keeps being entered at that level tells you everything: the people running this horse believe it belongs there.

Recent form is a little mixed. The last six results read 6-17-11-1-2-2, which means two excellent runs in a row have been followed by a spell of disappointing finishes — a 17th and a 6th chief among them. The last win came at Wolverhampton in March 2026, roughly two months ago, so there's a small question mark over whether it's returning to its best. But with William Haggas behind it — a trainer whose yard has sent out 170 winners already this season, making it one of the most productive operations in the country — First Principle is in exactly the right hands to find its way back to the winner's enclosure.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 50% win rate
Strong overall win rate: wins 33% of races

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Good to firm (drying out)
Unknown
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
7F – 1M
Unknown
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
25 May
6th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
14 May
17th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 19 runners
3 Apr
11th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
20 Mar
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
7 Mar
2nd
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard
19 Nov
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
31 Oct
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
11 Sep
8th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
4 Aug
🏆 Won
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners
2 Jul
2nd
Thirsk
7f – 1m · Good · 10 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
Tom Marquand Current Jockey
66.7%
Win rate
2/3
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 25 May 50%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 20 Mar 50%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 19 Nov 50%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 31 Oct 100%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 second 2 Jul 0%
York
Galloping
1 1 other 14 May 0%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Apr 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%