:

First Principle

Four wins from thirteen races, a 31% win rate — that's roughly 1 in every 3 races — and already competing at Class 2 level, one of the top tiers in British racing. First Principle is a four-year-old who has quietly built a profile that suggests a horse still finding its ceiling.Based on TrackLab's AI analysis
Quick Facts
Age
4 years old
Sex
Gelding
Colour
Bay
Father
Kingman
Mother
Guilty Twelve
Owner
Merry Fox Stud Limited
Rating
93

📊 Key Numbers

Career statistics for this horse
13
Career races
4
Wins
30.8%
Win rate
avg ~10%
53.8%
Place rate (top 3)
avg ~30%
1 days
Since last race

🔍 Full Analysis

TrackLab's AI-generated assessment based on career data and recent form
TrackLab's Detailed Breakdown
Auto-Generated

The most revealing number in First Principle's record is the one attached to a specific distance: at a mile and one furlong to a mile and two furlongs, this horse has won 4 of 8 races, a 50% win rate. Winning half your races at a particular trip is not a coincidence — it means the horse has found its optimum distance, the point where its engine and its stamina meet perfectly. It also shows up best on normal ground conditions, winning 2 of 4 races (50%) in those circumstances, which in Britain means there are plenty of opportunities to exploit through the year.

Trained by William Haggas at Newmarket, First Principle is in exceptional hands. Haggas's yard has sent out 170 winners already this season — a figure that reflects an operation operating at genuine scale and quality. Getting the best from a horse at Class 2 level is no accident, and the fact that First Principle competes regularly at that standard, winning 1 of 4 races there (25%), tells you this is not a horse padding its record against weak opposition.

The recent form figures — 12-6-17-11-1-2, read from most recent backwards — tell an honest story. The run two races ago, finishing second, looked like a horse coming back to itself after a pair of disappointing efforts. That was followed by a win at Wolverhampton in March 2026, but it has been four months since that victory, and the last two outings have produced a sixth and a twelfth — numbers that suggest First Principle may currently be working through a dip in form. The career first began with a win at Kempton Park in December 2024, and the horse has already added a Class 2 success at Southwell since then, so the quality is undeniably there. Whether the form that produced those wins returns soon is the interesting question — and with a trainer of Haggas's calibre, it would be unwise to give up on this horse just yet.

Strengths & Risks

What the data says works for and against this horse
✓ What works in their favour
Excellent record on standard ground: 2 wins from 4 starts (50%)
Well suited by 1m1f – 1m2f distances: 50% win rate
Strong overall win rate: wins 31% of races
⚠ What to watch out for
Poor record on good_to_firm ground: 0 wins from 3 starts

🎯 Where This Horse Thrives

Performance broken down by ground, distance, class, and track type
🌧 Ground Conditions
Standard (all-weather)
Loves
Good (firm-ish)
Standard to slow (all-weather)
Unknown
Good to soft (some give)
Unknown
Good to firm (drying out)
Avoids
📏 Race Distance
1M1F – 1M2F
Loves
1M3F – 1M4F
Unknown
7F – 1M
Avoids
🏅 Competition Level
Class 2 (high-level)
Ok
Class 4 (standard)
Unknown
Class 5 (entry-level)
Loves
🏟 Track Shape
Right-handed, long straights
Left-handed, long straights
Ok
Right-handed, tight turns
Unknown

📅 Recent Runs

The last 10 races, most recent first
11 Jul
12th
York
7f – 1m · Good_To_Firm · 13 runners
25 May
6th
Windsor
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Firm · 7 runners
14 May
17th
York
7f – 1m · Good · 19 runners
3 Apr
11th
Newcastle
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 14 runners
20 Mar
🏆 Won
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 13 runners
7 Mar
2nd
Wolverhampton
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard
19 Nov
2nd
Kempton Park
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard_To_Slow · 10 runners
31 Oct
🏆 Won
Southwell
1m1f – 1m2f · Standard · 10 runners
11 Sep
8th
Doncaster
1m3f – 1m4f · Good_To_Soft · 10 runners
4 Aug
🏆 Won
Windsor
1m1f – 1m2f · Good · 6 runners

🏇 Jockey Partnerships

Every jockey who has ridden this horse, sorted by rides together
50%
Win rate
2/4
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/3
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
100%
Win rate
1/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode
0%
Win rate
0/1
Won / Rode

🏟 Track Record

Win rate at each course this horse has visited
CourseRacesResultsLast visitedWin rate
Windsor
Sharp
2 1 win, 1 other 25 May 50%
Kempton Park
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 19 Nov 50%
Wolverhampton
Galloping
2 1 win, 1 second 20 Mar 50%
York
Galloping
2 2 other 11 Jul 0%
Southwell
Galloping
1 1 win 31 Oct 100%
Doncaster
Galloping
1 1 other 11 Sep 0%
Newcastle
Galloping
1 1 other 3 Apr 0%
Thirsk
Galloping
1 1 second 2 Jul 0%
Newmarket
Galloping
1 1 other 21 Jun 0%