Wexford
·
Maiden Hurdle
Starts in
7h 2min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 8/15
£1 wins 53p · 54 Very strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.53 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The trend in recent results is up. Each run has been better than the one before, which is encouraging.
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Square Necker is the only horse in this field with actual racetrack experience and a proven record — winning exactly half of its six races is genuinely rare and puts it well clear of rivals who are either unraced or still seeking their first win. After finishing 13th at York 64 days ago, the horse drops back into a race where wet ground and hurdling form no known problem based on its track record. The market has drifted from 1/12 to 8/15, but this horse remains the standout because it alone has shown it can win at this level.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Market favourite (8/15)
£1 wins £3.33 · 20 Strong chance
G. Elliott has won 15.2% of their races in their career
20
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.33 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- G. Elliott has won 15.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 17.6% overall win rate for J. Kennedy. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- Has been off the track for 180 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
Huntin BOOTS has raced only twice and found the back of the field most recently (fifth at Punchestown 180 days ago), though did pick up a second place before that; the long gap makes it hard to know what to expect here. Never tested on wet ground and with no wins from two starts, this runner has limited evidence of being competitive at this stage.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Absent 180 days (longest in field)
10
Well Friend
£1 wins £6.50 · 10 Could surprise
P. Nolan has won 9.2% of their races in their career
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Nolan has won 9.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- With a 7.3% win rate overall, S. O'Keeffe is one of the more dependable riders.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Well Friend is a racecourse debut for Paul Nolan's yard, which has saddled 25 winners already this season and suggests the trainer is in form. The jockey-trainer combination has a respectable record (35 wins from 266 races), but she has no track form of her own and remains a complete unknown on the racecourse.
Racecourse debut
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Nolan has won 9.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- S. Flanagan wins 8.0% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Whelkeen View makes her debut at 4 years old for Paul Nolan, who has found winners regularly this season. The jockey-trainer partnership shows a decent record (20 wins from 171 races together), but she is completely unraced and offers no evidence of what she can achieve at this level.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £23.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. J. Rothwell has won 5.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- P. J. Rothwell wins only 6% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Ballyhoura makes his racecourse debut with no form to assess, which means everything is still unknown. The pedigree (by Soldier Of Fortune, a sire known for tough racers, out of a Flemensfirth mare) suggests he should handle hurdles and wet ground, but there is no evidence yet he can translate breeding into track performance.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 9.2% overall win rate for P. Nolan. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- 2m 4½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- P. Nolan has a 14.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
El Bilo has one race under his belt — a poor eighth at Punchestown just 11 days ago — and has never encountered wet ground conditions like those here. With just a single outing and no wins or top-3 finishes to his name, he offers no evidence he can step up significantly from that recent showing.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £201.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- Came 11th in the last race. It might have been an off day, or the horse may be losing form.
TrackLab Insight
Misterous Flechois has lost both races by massive margins — 44.8 lengths and 75.8 lengths in the last two outings — with no wins or top-3 finishes in a two-race career that shows no sign of improvement. Never raced on wet ground and consistently finishing well beaten, this runner represents one of the weakest forms in the field.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 20% win rate at this course for S. Markey. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A 0% record at this course for R. O'Sullivan. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Parisian Dream has one race under his belt (a ninth at Listowel 29 days ago, beaten 70.8 lengths) and that single outing offers almost no evidence of ability. Never tested on wet ground and with no track record to build from, he remains an unknown quantity whose debut performance was far from promising.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- P. Enright wins 6.2% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- C. Motherway wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Vango At Dawn makes his racecourse debut with no form whatsoever, so everything is still to be revealed. The trainer-jockey partnership has never won a race together in 12 attempts, which offers no confidence going into this first run.
Racecourse debut
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. Nolan has won 9.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Coffeemorninggirls steps onto the racecourse for the first time as a 4-year-old, suggesting the trainer took time to prepare her rather than rushing her into early competition. No form to assess and no evidence of what she can do on track.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 9.2% overall win rate for P. Nolan. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Today's race is over 2m 4½f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- A 2% career win rate for R. Berry. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
Reilly's Pocket is a first-time runner making her debut at 4 years old, which marks her out as a late starter in the paddock. No form to work with and no track record to build expectations; the pedigree (Jukebox Jury and Oscar Schindler bloodlines) hints at athletic stock, but debut racing remains unpredictable.
Racecourse debut
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.