Wexford
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Challenge Series Irish EBF Beginners Steeplechase
Starts in
4h 12min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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£1 wins £2.25 · 26 Strong chance
A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs
26
Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 9/4
£1 wins £2.25 · 26 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A 26.4% win rate at this course for W. P. Mullins. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 9/4, fresh off a win at Galway eight weeks ago but struggling to repeat the trick since—he's won just once in ten career races overall. Like several rivals, he carries a poor record on soft ground (0 wins from 3 starts), which is a serious concern given today's testing conditions.
Market favourite (9/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 171 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- S. Neville wins only 4.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old with one win from 11 races and a critical weakness: never raced on wet ground. His most recent two races at Wexford (4th and 2nd) came on faster conditions, and the 171-day absence since that second place raises freshness questions.
Never raced on wet ground
£1 wins £6 · 11 Could surprise
Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate
11
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The editorial selection, rated 124 and head of the ratings by four pounds. He's won 3 of 22 races (roughly 1 in 7) with a notable strength: a 67% win rate when suited by 1m6f–2m distances, fitting this 20-furlong test. However, zero wins on soft ground from 5 attempts is a critical weak link, and a four-year drought without victory raises serious durability questions.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- H. de Bromhead has won 13.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old who has won once from 8 races and carries a 220-day absence, the longest in the field—his last appearance was at Cork with no recorded result. Limited data exists on his soft-ground form, making this a genuine question mark for a horse returning after so long away.
Absent 220 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 21.1% win rate at this course for A. Slattery. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- P. Donovan wins 4.8% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
The standout efficiency concern: 2 wins from 9 races means he wins roughly 1 in 4 outings, the best rate in the field—but he has never raced on wet ground and fell at his most recent start 22 days ago. His last win was eleven months ago, and recent form shows just one place from six outings since then.
Never raced on wet ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
£1 wins £9 · 7 Could surprise
P. J. Rothwell has won 5.3% of their races in their career
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. J. Rothwell has won 5.3% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- A 6% record at this course for P. J. Rothwell. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
A 5-year-old with genuine promise: 1 win from 4 races gives him roughly a 25% win rate, the standout mark in the field. However, he has never raced on wet ground and returns from a six-month absence, making this an unpredictable proposition despite his encouraging record on paper.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Recent results are getting better. The horse is finishing higher up. A horse that is improving often keeps improving.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old with just 5 career races showing 1 win and 2 top-3 finishes (20% win rate), suggesting real consistency early on—but he has never raced on wet ground and returns from a 180-day absence with a poor recent outing (19th at Punchestown). The data is thin and recent form unhelpful.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 5 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- 13 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A 10-year-old veteran of 32 races with just three wins—he wins roughly 1 in 11 outings, making him a reliable midfield presence rather than a threat. The crucial problem: zero wins on soft ground from 5 attempts, and this is wet going over a testing 20 furlongs. His recent form shows three consecutive top-3 finishes, but that consistency will count for little if the ground conditions expose his weakness.
Most experienced (32 runs, field avg 11)
3 straight top-3 finishes
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- This is a 13-runner race, and the size is not ideal. A big field means more traffic. A small field means nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The second-least experienced horse in the field with just 7 career races. He won once at Gowran in November and has shown enough for trainer Gordon Elliott to invest time, posting a 14% win rate. However, limited data and only one recent outing (6th at Ballinrobe 62 days ago) leave plenty of unknowns.
Relatively inexperienced (7 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- A 13.7% overall win rate for E. Mullins. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
The lightly raced mare with only 1 career start (a seventh at Wexford 78 days ago) and a 381-day absence from the track before that—she is effectively a newcomer here. Never raced on wet ground, limited form, and a long layoff make her the least reliable proposition in a 13-runner field.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £26.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- A 6.7% record at this course for S. Aherne. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Two career wins from 19 races (roughly 1 in 10) and returns after 167 days away with poor recent form (7th, 16th, 16th). The standout risk: zero wins on soft or heavy ground from four attempts, which rules him out on this card despite showing enough ability to win elsewhere.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 5 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- A 13-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
A stark warning: this 8-year-old has completed 12 races without a win and pulled up just 15 days ago. His rating of 91 is the second highest in the field, but the data doesn't support it—he's a horse trying hard but not quite getting there, and recent form is worrying.
2nd highest rated (OR 91)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- An official rating of 118 is in this horse's favour. The rating comes from results, and this horse's number looks good.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 25% win rate from 4 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- J. McConnell has a 4.2% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Rated 118 by the editorial team—27 pounds clear of the field average—yet priced at 40/1, suggesting the market disagrees sharply with that assessment. He holds the standout credentials: the only horse with a winning record on this ground (1 win from 4 starts on soft). However, recent form is poor (11th at Listowel, pulled up at Bellewstown), and he hasn't won in three years, so those credentials come with genuine doubt.
Top rated by 27lbs
Best record on this ground (1 from 4)
Unfancied in the market despite a high rating
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.