Wexford
·
Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) Flat Race
Starts in
8h 4min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 5/2
£1 wins £2.50 · 26 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 17% overall win rate for Mr J. L. Gleeson. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- A 13.7% overall win rate for E. Mullins. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
- Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Makes her racecourse debut as the market favourite at 11/4, backed by trainer Emmet Mullins—a prolific yard with 31 winners already this season. However, she has never raced before, and the market's confidence is not matched by any evidence on the track; she remains a complete unknown.
Racecourse debut
Market favourite (11/4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.25 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 28.6% win rate at this course for Mr D. G. Lavery. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- G. Cromwell has won 10.1% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
Finished second on her only outing, 103 days ago at Downpatrick, and carries the editorial rating of 101—8 lb clear of her nearest rival here. However, she has never raced on wet ground and has not run for over three months, so freshness and ground conditions are genuine unknowns despite the superior rating.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
£1 wins £2.75 · 24 Strong chance
Mr A. P. Ryan wins 31.2% of their races at this course
24
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Mr A. P. Ryan wins 31.2% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
- A. Slattery has won 7.9% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- A 7.9% career win rate for A. Slattery. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Racecourse debut at four years old with no form to work from, though the trainer A. Slattery has a decent record with 21 wins from 122 races together. Like most debutants here, she is a genuine first look with no track evidence to guide expectations.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Came home 3rd last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- Set to carry 165 lbs. In racing every pound counts, and this horse is not carrying too much.
- A 0% record at this course for N. Thomas Slevin. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
One run under her belt produced a third-place finish just 30 days ago, which is respectable early form, but she has never raced on wet ground and has never won. The editorial ratings place her 8 lb behind Payslip, which is a meaningful gap on a two-mile trip.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A weight of 165 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
- A 2m 2½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- D. Queally wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Five-year-old making her racecourse debut with no prior form to assess. Trained by Declan Queally, whose yard has 26 winners already this season, which suggests competence, but there is simply nothing on the track yet to tell us whether B U Train can compete in this field.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- The trend in recent results is up. Each run has been better than the one before, which is encouraging.
- Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
- A. McCann wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Has finished in the top 3 on three of her last four outings and could be building momentum, but has never won from four races and has never tackled wet ground. Her most recent run at Punchestown just 12 days ago ended in 12th place—a stark drop from the two thirds that preceded it—which suggests form remains fragile.
Never raced on wet ground
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- P. John Kiely wins 20% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- A weight of 164 lbs is manageable. A lighter load helps in the closing stages.
- P. John Kiely has a 3.6% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
One race on record produced a fifth-place finish at Cork 295 days ago, and she has never tackled wet ground. The trainer-jockey combination holds a poor record of zero wins from two attempts, which does not inspire confidence.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £67.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- P. A. Fahy wins 6.5% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
- A 4.8% record at this course for P. A. Fahy. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Returning to the track after 10 months away and has only one race on record, a 11th-place finish at Fairyhouse. The trainer's yard has nine winners this season, but this horse's long absence and minimal experience make her a genuine unknown quantity for this test.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Absent 316 days (longest in field)
1
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 1 run here without a win. That counts against the horse. The track layout may not suit it.
- 2m 2½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- P. O'Rourke wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Six years old with just one race ever—a pull-up at Wexford 79 days ago—which is extremely thin experience for a horse of that age. The trainer-jockey pairing has managed only one win from 16 attempts together, and there is nothing here to suggest this will be the breakthrough.
Never raced on wet ground
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Carrying 164 lbs today, which is a reasonable weight. Less weight means less effort, especially late in the race when horses tire.
- This horse is happy on Soft ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- M. A. Cahill has a 4.8% overall win rate, which is on the low side. That may mean the horse is not at its best.
TrackLab Insight
Making her racecourse debut at four years old, which is late, and arrives with no form to assess. Trainer M A Cahill's yard has managed just one winner all season, so support in the stable is minimal.
Racecourse debut
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- 2m 2½f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- T. O'Brien wins only 6.2% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Two races without a win or place, with the most recent run at Galway showing a 7th-place finish 48 days ago. Has never threatened to win and cannot be considered a serious prospect on this evidence.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.