Wexford
·
Jim And Kay Whitty Memorial Handicap Steeplechase
Starts in
4h 47min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 3/1
£1 wins £3 · 22 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £4.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- A 2m 4½f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- I. John McCarthy has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Fountain House wins roughly 1 in 2 races—the best win rate in the field—but there's a critical catch: the horse has never raced on wet ground and has won three times from four races at Punchestown, suggesting the track itself matters as much as the horse's ability. Wexford in wet conditions is a very different proposition, and this horse is unproven in both.
Never raced on wet ground
Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Market favourite (7/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- J. Kennedy has won 17.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Has had 29 days off since its last race. That is a routine gap that should not help or hurt.
TrackLab Insight
Watch The Weather is the only course winner in the field, with two wins from six races at Wexford, and has raced here at this distance before. At ten years old, this is an experienced head (44 career races) who arrives off a narrow second at Listowel 29 days ago, but winning roughly 1 in 9 times overall means breakthroughs are rare.
Only course winner (2 from 6 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 5)
Most experienced (44 runs, field avg 18)
£1 wins £6.50 · 13 Solid chance
H. de Bromhead has won 13.2% of their races in their career
13
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- H. de Bromhead has won 13.2% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
- D. O'Keeffe has won 10.2% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Just 6 runs in its career so far. With little experience, this horse is harder to judge.
TrackLab Insight
Miss Doyenne wins roughly 1 in 2 races and only raced 32 days ago, suggesting real-time sharpness, but she has never tackled wet ground and finished fourth, beaten 28 lengths, last time out at Listowel. That recent form is hard to ignore, even if her win rate is excellent on drier surfaces.
Never raced on wet ground
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- Has raced 6 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- A 6.4% career win rate for C. O'Dwyer. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Luimneach has won twice and finished in the top 3 three times in the last six races, including a victory at Gowran Park just this week, suggesting sharp current form at the right time. However, the horse has no wins from four attempts on yielding-to-soft ground and struggles on tight, sharp tracks—both relevant concerns on wet Wexford turf.
3 straight top-3 finishes
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. O'Keeffe wins 7.3% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
- 194 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- A 2% record at this course for C. Bowe. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
The Great Nudie is the only runner with proven wet-ground form here, winning 1 from 3 on heavy or soft surfaces and showing consistency with top-3 finishes in four of every five races across 15 starts. However, the last three outings have all brought placings only—no victories—and form has stalled since early March.
Best record on this ground (1 from 3)
£1 wins £6.50 · 8 Could surprise
220 days without racing. A long break can be a worry
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- 220 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- A 6.2% overall win rate for P. Enright. Good jockeys make better decisions during a race.
- R. Tyner has a 4.3% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Kobalt St Georges has been absent 220 days—the longest layoff in the field—and wins roughly 1 in 5 times when active, with three wins from the last four races before the break. A return from that much time away carries real risk, even though the form line before the absence looked promising.
Absent 220 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is suited to this Chase Turf race. A horse in its best type of race can just focus on running.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 22% win rate from 9 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- P. J. Rothwell has a 6% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Duffys Hodey wins roughly 1 in 5 races and carries the lowest weight in the field as the lowest-rated runner, but has zero wins from three attempts on yielding-to-soft ground and hasn't raced at Wexford in 198 days. A specialist at Limerick rather than here, the current conditions present a genuine question mark.
Lowest rated, 12lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
£1 wins £14 · 6 Could surprise
S. Flanagan has won 8.0% of their races in their career
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- S. Flanagan has won 8.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 20% win rate from 5 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- The fences are a worry. A horse that jumps badly wastes energy and can fall behind.
TrackLab Insight
I Am Lorenzo has won roughly 1 in 5 times on soft ground—genuinely strong form for these conditions—but only nine career races means experience is limited compared to most of the field. Sean Flanagan and Paul Nolan's partnership has a decent record together, and the horse's recent form reads solid, though a 177-day absence before last time is worth factoring in.
Relatively inexperienced (9 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £15.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With a 9.5% win rate overall, S. Ewing is one of the more dependable riders.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Scalpnagoon has won twice from 17 races and finished third at Wexford 78 days ago, showing the track suits him to some degree. However, 20 months without a win, a recent fifth at Kilbeggan, and zero wins from any attempt on good-to-yielding or yielding ground suggest wet conditions may expose a weakness.
Among the more experienced (17 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £29.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- Has run 1 time at this track with no wins yet. Some horses do not take to some courses.
TrackLab Insight
Choccabloc has won roughly 1 in 8 races and finished—or failed to finish—inconsistently over the past year-plus, including a fall at Wexford 198 days ago. At 28/1 odds and 29 months since the last win, this is a horse in a long drought making an unlikely case for a revival.
Outsider at 28/1
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.