✓ Trainer overall starts✓ Field size✓ Last run finishing position
First run (debut)
Why this score
+A 10.1% overall win rate for G. Cromwell. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
+This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
−Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Ten Gears is the market favourite at 5/2 making his racecourse debut, yet like every other first-time runner here, he has no form whatsoever to justify that confidence. By Ten Sovereigns out of a Galileo mare, the bloodlines are solid, but the jockey-trainer combination of Sexton and Cromwell has won just once from 31 races — a weak win rate that raises questions about why this horse is priced so short.
+D. Meyler wins 8.1% of all their races. That is a strong record. A jockey who wins often gives a horse a better chance.
+This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
−Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Noon Blu Dodville makes his debut with no form to assess, but carries an underrated label from our model at current odds. The jockey-trainer combination of Meyler and Mullins has won 35 times from 220 races together, suggesting competence in the yard, though even that advantage cannot overcome the complete blank slate of a debut runner on wet ground.
+A 9.2% overall win rate for P. Nolan. That suggests a trainer who picks the right races for their horses.
+S. Flanagan has won 8.0% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
−Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
The Two Degrees debuts for Paul Nolan's Enniscorthy yard, which has sent out 25 winners already this season and shows a respectable 20-win record from 171 races with Sean Flanagan. The pedigree suggests a stayer — by Walk In The Park out of a Yeats mare — which should suit the wet ground and extended distance, though he remains an unknown on the racecourse.
+P. Nolan wins 9.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
+S. O'Keeffe has won 7.3% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
−Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Toll Road makes his debut for Paul Nolan and Sean O'Keeffe, a pairing with an excellent record of 35 wins from 266 races. However, the pedigree — by Kapgarde out of a Doctor Dino mare — offers little obvious indication of what kind of racehorse might emerge, and he has no form to guide expectations on wet ground over the distance.
+M. Mulvany has a good 33.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
+9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
−A 6.7% career win rate for M. Mulvany. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Hansel The Purse is the only horse in this field with a race under his belt — he finished fourth at Punchestown 11 days ago — but he's never tackled wet ground and has only one outing to his name, leaving plenty of unknowns. The editorial verdict identifies him as their only rated runner at 67, giving him a concrete platform, though the soft conditions and extended distance are unproven for him.
Never raced on wet groundLightly raced (1 career races)
+9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
+Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
−Not rated highly by the official rater. The rating reflects what the horse has done so far, and it is modest.
TrackLab Insight
Hilarion steps onto the racecourse for the first time carrying elite bloodlines: by Frankel and out of a Lonhro mare, two sires renowned for passing on speed and toughness. As a racecourse debut, he remains an unknown quantity on wet ground over nearly two miles, though the pedigree is the strongest in the field on paper.
+9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
+Starting from a good position. On some tracks, starting on one side can save ground.
−T. Gibney has a 0% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Bay City Boy makes his racecourse debut with pedigree suggesting staying ability — by Marcel out of a Champs Elysees mare, both proven sources of racehorses. Everything about his ability remains unknown, and he carries the weight of an entire field of unproven 3-year-olds entering wet ground over nearly two miles for the first time.
+This is a 9-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
+W. J. Burke wins 6.0% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
−W. J. Burke has a 4.5% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
Burleigh Beach is a filly making her debut with bloodlines that suggest staying power — by Australia and out of a Dubawi mare — but she carries 147lbs compared to the geldings' 154lbs, a small but tangible advantage. Like every other first-time runner, she remains an unknown on wet ground, and her the yard have only a thin record of 3 wins from 85 races.
+The starting stall helps today. At this course, some stalls have done better than others.
+9 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
−L. J. Archdeacon wins 3.1% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
One For Christy is a filly debuting at 33/1 with zero advantage to point to: her trainer-jockey pairing has never won in five attempts together, and the pedigree offers no obvious clue to staying ability. She carries the same weight disadvantage as Burleigh Beach (147lbs) on what is likely to be her most difficult test to date.
Racecourse debut
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shotScores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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