Uttoxeter
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Ted Anderson Dixon Handicap Steeple Chase
Starts in
19h 58min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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17
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20.1% win rate at this course for S. Bowen. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- 2m 4f is a good distance for this horse. Over its best distance, it can run its own race.
- D. Dennis wins only 8% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Market favourite at 5/2 and sharp after racing just 18 days ago, arriving off a narrow second-place defeat and two solid efforts beforehand. The major concern is course history: he has never won at Uttoxeter and struggles on good-to-soft or softer ground—all disadvantages here where the going is normal.
Market favourite (5/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- Has not raced for 324 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Lowest-rated horse in the field, carries least weight, yet returns from a 109-day break with just four career races, zero wins, and one place—a narrow second 324 days ago. The form line before that (8-9) shows only decline, making the layoff layering doubt on an already thin record.
Lowest rated, 9lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- With £3,248 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- An 11-runner race works against this horse. Too many runners can mean getting boxed in. Too few can mean nowhere to hide.
TrackLab Insight
Recent runner (last out 28 days ago) with one win from seven races and a runner-up finish just 56 days back, pairing with trainer McCain's reliable record. But that fourth place last time at Hexham was beaten 9.5 lengths, and he holds no wins on anything softer than good ground.
Mid-range in the market (12/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has been off the track for 243 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
Fancied at 6/1 yet winless from eight races with just one place to show, returning after a 243-day absence marked by a recent fall. The last four recorded efforts read 4-2-4-4, placing him multiple times but never breaking through—and this layoff raises serious questions about ring rustiness.
Among the fancied runners (6/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Wins 43% of the time on this type of ground. Some horses run much better on soft or firm ground. This one suits today's ground.
- A 16.6% win rate at this course for C. Longsdon. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- Has been off the track for 436 days. That is a long break. Some horses come back fresh. Others need a run to get fit again.
TrackLab Insight
Top-rated by 5lbs and a proven winner on normal ground (3 from 7 starts), but arrives 436 days away from a racecourse and hasn't raced in seven months—by far the longest absence in the field. His best win rate (roughly 1 in 4) and previous success here are solid anchors, yet the layoff is a genuine gamble at 16/1.
Top rated by 5lbs
Best record on this ground (3 from 7)
Absent 436 days (longest in field)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 4)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £8.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 3 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- Today's race is over 2m 4f. That distance looks right for this horse. Running over the right distance matters a lot.
- Has not raced for 324 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Second-highest rated in the field yet winless from nine career races, with no obvious pattern of progress before returning from a 109-day absence. The best recent effort—a third place at Leicester 324 days ago—is now stale, and the mixed form (3-6-9-9-2-5) offers little comfort.
2nd highest rated (OR 95)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This is a Chase Turf race, and it suits this horse. Running in the right type of race matters.
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
Three career wins from 27 races and returned to form with a third place at Uttoxeter just 26 days ago, proving resilience after past injuries. However, he has yet to win at Uttoxeter in six attempts—a notable blank on home ground—and soft ground brings out the worst in him.
One of the more successful in the field (3 career wins)
£1 wins £8.50 · 8 Could surprise
A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs
8
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- 167 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
TrackLab Insight
Raced just 167 days ago, so recently active, yet winless from seven career races and has only one top-3 finish to her name. That single place came nearly a year ago; the most recent three runs span a disappointing 4-5-2 line with no sign of a breakthrough.
Mid-range in the market (10/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £34.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 15 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Dropped to an easier race today. It is like being the big fish in a smaller pond. The lower standard should suit.
- A 3% record at this course for S. Davies. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Most experienced horse in the field at 28 races and holds the best record for this distance (2 wins from 3 starts), but his last two outings here at Uttoxeter were failures—a fourth and a sixth, both badly beaten. Winless at this track in six attempts and with no form in the book from recent weeks.
Best record at this trip (2 from 3)
Most experienced (28 runs, field avg 12)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A Chase Turf race works in this horse's favour. Horses often do best in one type of race and struggle in others.
- With £3,248 in prize money, this is a competitive race. The horse has been entered for a reason.
- The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Among the more experienced at 13 career races and freshly run (24 days ago), yet owns just one win from 13 starts and finished fourth last time, beaten nearly 26 lengths. The win itself came only recently, so the horse is finally finding form—but the evidence is thinner than it looks.
Among the more experienced (13 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £13.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- A 2m 4f race suits this horse well. When a horse is comfortable with the distance, it can settle into a good rhythm.
- A 0% record at this course for J. & Rhys Flint. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Raced as recently as 178 days ago and has picked up three top-3 finishes from seven attempts without a win, showing some ability but no consistency. Recent form is mixed (blank run, fifth, then third), and no clear improvement pattern suggests this is still a work in progress.
Mid-range in the market (14/1)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.