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Uttoxeter

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Bob Derry 50 Years At Uttoxeter National Hunt Flat Race (conditional And Amateur Jockeys' Race) (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)
Starts in
21h 8min
Bumper · flat race for young jumps horses About 2 miles Good ground Entry-level race 8 runners £2,451 prize money E/W: also pays on 2nd or 3rd, at 1/5 odds
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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T. Walsh · O. Murphy · 4yo · 11st 1lb
£1 wins 80p · 45 Very strong chance
O. Murphy has won 18.8% of their races in their career
Debut
45
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 4/5
£1 wins 80p · 45 Very strong chance
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.80 back.

How odds work
✓ Trainer overall starts ✓ Field size ✓ Trainer overall win rate
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • O. Murphy has won 18.8% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • A 3.5% career win rate for T. Walsh. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 4/5, but Lou Prince is a four-year-old on racecourse debut with no form to go on whatsoever. The Doctor Dino pedigree is respectable on paper, but no previous races means genuine unpredictability; the short price reflects hope rather than evidence.
Racecourse debut Market favourite (4/5)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • D. Skelton wins 22.8% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
  • D. Skelton wins 18.7% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
A five-year-old making his racecourse debut is already unusual — most horses run for the first time much younger, raising questions about what he's been doing. We have no form to assess and no racing history, so this is genuine unknown territory; the pedigree (No Risk At All) offers nothing obvious to work with.
Racecourse debut
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • Mr H. Hunt wins 25% of their races at this course. Knowing the track is an advantage for any jockey.
  • A 24.6% win rate at this course for H. Fry. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
  • A 24.6% record at this course for H. Fry. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old stepping onto a racecourse for the first time with no prior form to judge — genuine uncertainty. The pedigree (Getaway / Saddler Maker) suggests a workmanlike horse rather than a natural talent, and at four years old this is a very late debut.
Racecourse debut
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • T. Ellis has won 16% of their races in their career. Trainers at this level know how to get horses ready.
  • The official rating suggests this horse has work to do. Lower-rated horses need to improve to win.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old making her racecourse debut with no form record, though the trainer Tom Ellis has sent out 30 winners already this season and holds a solid record with his jockey. The Poet's Word pedigree blends speed and stamina, but debut runners are always speculation.
Racecourse debut
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £19.00 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 208 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
  • This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • A 2% record at this course for N. Kent. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old has run just once, finishing third at Market Rasen 208 days ago — a decent enough start, though seven months away from the track is a long absence. Very lightly raced, so the ceiling is genuinely unclear and improvement is possible, but so is regression after such a gap.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £41.00 back.

How odds work
First run (debut)
Why this score
  • P. Kirby wins 9.2% of all their races. That is a solid record. Good trainers get horses ready well and pick the right races.
  • An 8-runner race works well for this horse. The number of runners changes the pace and how much room a horse has.
  • Mr D. Perrin wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
A four-year-old on racecourse debut with no form to assess, arriving late to the track like several others in this field. The Linda's Lad pedigree is adequate but unremarkable, and there is no obvious reason to think the delay has built anything special.
Racecourse debut
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £251.00 back.

How odds work
Won 0 of last 5 Raced here before
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • M. Mullineaux wins 0% of their races overall. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old has run twice without a win or a top-3 finish, most recently beaten 48 lengths at Stratford 25 days ago. With only two races under her belt and zero success to date, she remains very much a work in progress still searching for her first breakthrough.
Lightly raced (2 career races)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 331 days off Won 0 of last 5
Why this score
  • This is an 8-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • Has not won at this distance before. We do not know if the race length suits the horse.
  • A 4.3% career win rate for J. Robottom. That is on the low side and could matter today.
TrackLab Insight
This four-year-old is returning after 331 days away — the longest absence in the field — following a ninth-place finish at Ludlow on her only previous outing. The nine-month gap is a significant risk, and she has never raced on normal ground before, making this a deeply uncertain proposition.
Never raced on normal ground Lightly raced (1 career races) Absent 331 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.