Uttoxeter
·
Handicap Hurdle Race
Starts in
20h 33min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 13/8
£1 wins £1.63 · 26 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £2.63 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20.1% win rate at this course for S. Bowen. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
- A low win rate on this ground from 4 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
The market favourite at 13/8 with a respectable 17% win rate from 12 races and a third-place finish here just 26 days ago, this four-year-old is the form horse in the field. Youth and recent course form are genuine strengths, though the second-place finishes hint at a pattern of near-misses rather than breakthroughs.
Market favourite (13/8)
14
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 3 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with only three career attempts and zero top-3 finishes, this six-year-old has slipped out to 9/2 after early support. The price drift is telling—three races in and still searching for any sign of class.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- Has yet to win over this distance. It is like asking a sprinter to run a marathon. Distance matters, and this horse has not shown it can win here.
- Has not raced for 236 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from four races with a recent fourth-place finish at Ludlow offering the only sign of competitiveness, yet the mare has not built on that. Drifted to 15/2 and returns after a 236-day gap, which raises questions about fitness and momentum.
Among the fancied runners (15/2)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £9.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 6 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- A 13.2% win rate at this course for D. McCain. Trainers who know a course often send out their horses well suited to it.
- 48 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
The best win rate in the field at roughly 1 in 6 across 23 races, and one of only three horses to win over this exact trip (1 from 3), but form has collapsed—no winner's enclosure for a full year and two consecutive sevenths at Musselburgh and Chester. The evidence of struggle outweighs the career credentials.
Best record at this trip (1 from 3)
Best career win rate in field (1 in 6)
£1 wins £9 · 10 Could surprise
A low win rate on this ground from 22 previous runs
10
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 22 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- 2 wins from 4 runs at this track. When a horse likes a course, it often runs well there again.
- This trainer's horses often do not finish their races. That makes them harder to trust.
TrackLab Insight
The only course winner here with three victories from five Uttoxeter attempts (60% success rate) and has won over this course and distance before, making him a genuine specialist on home turf. Recent form is patchy but recent wins at this track—including one just 45 days ago—show the potential remains live, and the value label suggests the market has underestimated him.
Only course winner (2 from 4 here)
Has won over this course and distance
Best record on this ground (4 from 22)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £10.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Today's ground is Good, and that suits this horse. Like athletes who prefer one type of surface, horses have favourite ground.
- 98 days without racing. A long break can be a worry, as it takes time to rebuild fitness.
- T. Culhane & Stella Barclay wins only 0% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
One of the most successful runners here with two wins from 17 races (roughly 1 in 9), this eight-year-old thrives at longer distances with a 22% win rate beyond 2 miles. The catch: he has never won at Uttoxeter in five attempts and pulled up at Worcester just 72 days ago.
One of the more successful in the field (2 career wins)
£1 wins £11 · 7 Could surprise
Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate
7
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 3 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- O. Greenall & Josh Guerriero wins 13.9% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- 31 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced at three career attempts with no wins or top-3 finishes, this three-year-old finished fifth just a day ago at Sedgefield. The evidence is thin and the latest outing suggests he is still searching for his feet at racecourse level.
Lightly raced (3 career races)
8
Coup de Gold
£1 wins £10 · 6 Could surprise
A low win rate on this ground from 16 previous runs
6
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £11.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 16 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- Miss E. Williams wins 4.2% of their races overall. That is below the average for professional jockeys.
TrackLab Insight
The most experienced runner at 46 races, this ten-year-old has won twice (once at Newton Abbot just 140 days ago) and shows solid form on soft ground. Yet with a 4% win rate and 109 days since that last start, age and inconsistency are plain obstacles.
Most experienced (46 runs, field avg 17)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse is happy on Good ground. When the ground suits, a horse can run to its best.
- Has not raced for 62 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
- A 5.7% record at this course for L. Harrison. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Carries the lowest weight in the field but has managed just one win in 24 races and has not tasted victory since June 2023 (39 months ago), despite eight top-3 finishes. The recent form record is blank for his last outing and does not inspire confidence.
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £81.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 6 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- The Good ground works in this horse's favour. The ground makes a big difference in racing, and today it helps.
- A 5.7% record at this course for L. Harrison. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 16 races and returns after a 337-day absence (the longest lay-off in the field), this mare is rated lowest in the field by a substantial margin and has not won anywhere in her career. The long break and bleak record make this a long outsider.
Lowest rated, 21lbs below average
Absent 337 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.