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Kalahari King 'chasing Excellence' Beginners' Steeple Chase (GBB Race)
Starts in
17h 48min
Jumps race · big fences Underrated horse: Hold The Serve About 2 miles Good ground Mid-level race 3 runners £7,922 prize money
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score

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3 Hold The Serve Underrated horse
S. Bowen · O. Murphy · 6yo · 11st 5lb · Official rating 130
£1 wins 73p · 59 Very strong chance
3 runners today is a good number for this horse
Headgear Form
59
Our top pick for this race
Very strong chance
Odds 8/11
£1 wins 73p · 59 Very strong chance
Underrated horse

We think it's more likely to win than the odds suggest, so if it wins, it pays more than it should. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £1.73 back.

How odds work
✓ Field size ✓ Jockey starts at this course ✓ Trainer overall starts
Wearing tongue strap Won 3 of last 5
Why this score
  • 3 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • A 20.1% win rate at this course for S. Bowen. Jockeys who know a track well can pick the best ground and time their run.
  • O. Murphy has a 20.9% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.00 back.

How odds work
Back after 198 days off Won 3 of last 5 Likes this ground (wins 67% of runs) Won at this distance 1 time
Why this score
  • This is a 3-runner race, and the size suits this horse. Some horses prefer a small field with less traffic. Others do well in a crowd.
  • Handles this ground well, with 67% of its races won on it. The ground can change a horse's chances a lot.
  • The trainer's horses do not always finish their races. That raises questions about fitness and preparation.
TrackLab Insight
Count Of Vendome wins roughly 1 in 2 races — a record that stands out sharply in a three-horse field where the other two win closer to 1 in 4. He is the only horse here to have won at this two-mile distance and has won both times he has raced on normal ground conditions (2 from 2). With five wins from eight career races and two recent victories at Haydock and Doncaster, he brings genuine substance to this beginners' chase, though he has been off the track for 198 days.
Only winner at this distance Best record on this ground (2 from 3) Best career win rate in field (1 in 2)
Fair price

TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.50 back.

How odds work
Wearing hood Back after 227 days off Won 1 of last 5
Why this score
  • Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
  • 3 runners today is a good number for this horse. The number of runners affects how a race is run.
  • A 24.6% record at this course for H. Fry. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Constellation Walk finally broke through with a win at Exeter just 12 days ago after six races without success — a significant moment for a six-year-old that has now won once and finished in the top 3 twice from seven total races. The long gap between today and that breakthrough (227 days since his previous run before the recent win) makes his current fitness hard to judge, but his form over the last six runs shows genuine improvement, with four top-3 finishes alongside the win. He carries the lowest rating in the field by some margin and faces two opponents with stronger recent records.
Absent 227 days (longest in field)
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance 20–39 Strong chance 12–19 Solid chance 6–11 Could surprise Under 6 Long shot Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.

What these words mean

Underrated horse
We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
Our top pick
The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
TrackLab Score
Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
Ground
How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
Race level (Class)
From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
Group, Grade and Listed
The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
Handicap
The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
Maiden
A race for horses that haven't won yet.
Novice
A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
Chase, hurdle and bumper
Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
Distance (m and f)
m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
Each way
A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
Weight
How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
Jockey claim
An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
Headgear
Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.
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