Sedgefield
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Canine Premier Flex Plus Joint Supplement Etc Handicap Hurdle Race (Go North Sea Pigeon Series Qualifier)
Starts in
3h 31min
Turf track
Detail:
All runners, sorted by TrackLab Score
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Our top pick for this race
Strong chance
Odds 11/4
£1 wins £2.75 · 25 Strong chance
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £3.75 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has only raced on this type of ground once or twice, so it is hard to say if it suits the horse.
- N. Richards has a good 21.3% record here. A trainer who does well at one course is worth noting.
- N. Richards wins only 21.3% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
The only winner at this distance in the field, with a proven record of one win from four races over 2m 1f—a meaningful edge in a weak contest. She has been away for seven months but trained by Nicky Richards, a yard known for getting horses ready first time back, and carries the favourite's odds despite recent struggles on her comeback attempts. The standout marker here is simple: she's done it before at this trip when others haven't.
Only winner at this distance
Has won over this course and distance
Best record at this trip (1 from 4)
Market favourite (4/1)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A 20% win rate on this ground from 5 runs. Just like people, horses have favourite surfaces. This one likes today's ground.
- Miss E. Callwood has a good 33.3% record here. Knowing the course is one of a jockey's biggest strengths.
- Miss E. Callwood has a 4.9% overall win rate, which is lower than we would like to see. A jockey who wins less often can hold back even a good horse.
TrackLab Insight
The most consistent horse in the field with a 20% win rate (1 from 5 races), and has shaped up well at Sedgefield with a win, a second, and a third in three recent runs here. However, he's been racing frequently—three runs in nine weeks—which raises questions about his peak condition coming into this. His jockey and trainer have never won together, adding a layer of uncertainty to what looks like a comfortable profile on paper.
Best career win rate in field (1 in 5)
£1 wins £4 · 15 Solid chance
Has had 38 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse
15
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £5.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has had 38 career runs, so it is an experienced racehorse. Experience helps in a tough race.
- 18 days since the last run. That is a usual break, so there is nothing to read into it.
- A 9.8% record at this course for I. Jardine. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
A 5-year-old who won just 18 days ago at Perth and carries the label underrated, suggesting he's priced longer than his form warrants. He thrives on soft ground (33% win rate) but today's normal conditions present a significant risk—he's won nothing from 10 attempts on good or standard surfaces. His recent record is choppy (win then eighth), so consistency is the question mark even if the ground were in his favour.
One of the more successful in the field (4 career wins)
£1 wins £5 · 14 Solid chance
Has raced 16 times on this ground with a low win rate
14
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £6.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 16 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- With an 8.9% win rate overall, J. Hamilton is one of the more dependable riders.
- A 6.2% record at this course for M. Walford. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
A 5-year-old with 36 races under his belt but only one win—back in January 2024—and hasn't finished in the top 3 at Sedgefield in his last two runs here. His last outing was a beaten 2nd at Market Rasen just nine days ago, but he's never won on good ground despite 17 attempts, which matters today. The weight of his record (3% win rate) suggests this is a horse still chasing rather than catching.
Among the more experienced (36 career races)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £7.50 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced here 3 times without winning. This course has not suited the horse so far.
- An average finish of 3.7 over the last three races. Finishing near the front this often is a good sign.
- 11 runners today is not the number this horse wants. The number of runners changes how a race is run.
TrackLab Insight
A 6-year-old mare with a 12% win rate and two top-3 finishes in her last three races, but her form is heavily dependent on Hexham (two wins in six races there). Sedgefield represents a different challenge, and she carries a critical weakness: she's won nothing from five attempts on soft or good-to-soft ground. On today's normal conditions she should be competitive, but there's nothing in her record to suggest she'll beat the field.
Top-3 finishes in 2 of last 3 races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £12.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This horse runs well on today's ground, with a 22% win rate from 9 runs. The ground makes a big difference in racing.
- S. England wins 18.7% of their races at this course. Some trainers aim horses at particular tracks, and this one does well here.
- Has not raced for 532 days. That is a long time away, and we cannot be sure the horse will be fit enough.
TrackLab Insight
An 8-year-old returning from a 313-day absence (his longest break), last sighted winning at Southwell 532 days ago—a significant gap for any horse to overcome. His career record shows 3 wins from 21 races (14%), which is decent on paper, but his strengths on good and good-to-soft ground are irrelevant today. The long absence and lack of recent fitness markers make this a risky proposition.
Best record on this ground (2 from 9)
Absent 532 days (longest in field)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 8 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- Has an official rating of 95. This is a score from the official rater, and a higher number means a better horse. This horse is rated well.
- A 3.3% record at this course for S. Corbett. This is not a track where the trainer has done well.
TrackLab Insight
Winless from 16 career races with just three top-3 finishes, Kaikoura is a horse still searching for his breakthrough at age 6. His most recent outing six weeks ago resulted in a beaten 32 lengths at Hexham, underlining how far short he's fallen when it matters. There is nothing in his record to suggest he's close to winning.
Winless from 16 career races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Has raced 7 times on this ground with a low win rate. Today's ground may not suit it.
- R. Mania has won 11.6% of their races in their career. That steady record counts for a lot.
- Only 10th last time out. That is not what we want to see before today's race.
TrackLab Insight
A 4-year-old winless from 21 races with just three top-3 finishes, Tracker Issue is young but has shown inconsistency rather than promise—his last four runs read 10th, 5th, 9th, 2nd. The occasional sharpness is there (that 2nd place) but not enough to offset a career pattern that suggests he's run out of opportunities. He carries 19/1 odds for sound reasons.
Winless from 21 career races
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £17.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- This type of ground has not suited the horse: 28 runs without much success. Some horses prefer different ground.
- There is £3,248 in prize money in this race. That attracts good horses, and this one looks to belong among them.
- L. Quinlan has a 2.1% win rate at this course. It is not their strongest track. Some stables do better at some tracks than others.
TrackLab Insight
A remarkable statistical anomaly: a 7-year-old winless from 45 career races despite seven top-3 finishes, and he's yet to win at Sedgefield in nine attempts here. Rated 18 pounds below the field average, he carries the lowest weight but that's a consequence of his class level rather than an advantage. His recent runs at Sedgefield (5th, 6th, 3rd) show familiar inconsistency with no sign of a breakthrough.
Lowest rated, 18lbs below average
Carries lowest weight in field
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £101.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- A low win rate on this ground from 13 previous runs. The ground could work against the horse today.
- With 49 races behind it, this horse knows what to expect. Experienced runners tend to cope better with pressure.
- A 0% career win rate for B. Murtagh. That is below the top trainers.
TrackLab Insight
Despite being positioned as the editorial pick, Chicago Storm has just finished 13th at Carlisle 12 days ago, beaten 45 lengths, and hasn't shown a top-3 finish in his last three runs. At 100/1 odds, he represents what the market thinks of recent form—a 7-year-old workhorse who has won roughly 1 in 12 races and whose last two runs have been pulled up or well-beaten. His trainer partnership is untested, which compounds the concern.
Most experienced (50 runs, field avg 23)
Fair price
TrackLab and the bookies agree on this horse's chances. Bet £1, and if it wins you get £51.00 back.
How odds workWhy this score
- Very little experience on today's ground. With so few runs, we cannot say if it suits the horse.
- Ran well last time out. A good recent run often carries over to the next race.
- D. Bourke wins only 5.9% of the time here. That weak record at this course counts against the horse.
TrackLab Insight
Lightly raced with just one career outing, a pull-up at Newcastle just seven days ago, Plane Sailing is returning to action after an immediate reappearance. At 50/1 odds and with zero top-3 finishes from a single run, there is genuinely not enough information to assess whether this horse is a prospect or a non-starter; extreme data thinness applies here.
Lightly raced (1 career races)
Runs again after just 7 days
What the colours mean
40+ Very strong chance
20–39 Strong chance
12–19 Solid chance
6–11 Could surprise
Under 6 Long shot
Scores in a race add up to 100.How scores workModel estimates, not guaranteed. Past performance is no guide.
What these words mean
- Underrated horse
- We think this horse has a better chance than the bookmakers' odds suggest.
- Our top pick
- The horse with the highest TrackLab Score in the race.
- TrackLab Score
- Our model's estimate of a horse's chance of winning, as a number out of 100. The scores in a race add up to 100.
- Ground
- How the going was on the day, from Firm (hard and dry) to Heavy (very wet and muddy). On all-weather tracks it's Standard, Fast or Slow.
- Race level (Class)
- From Class 1 (elite) down to Class 7 (lowest).
- Group, Grade and Listed
- The top races. Group 1 on the Flat and Grade 1 over jumps are the highest level, then 2 and 3. Listed races sit just below.
- Handicap
- The handicapper gives better horses more weight to carry, so in theory they'd all finish together.
- Maiden
- A race for horses that haven't won yet.
- Novice
- A race for horses that are new to this type of race.
- Chase, hurdle and bumper
- Chase: jumps over fences. Hurdle: jumps over low hurdles. Bumper: a flat race for young jump horses.
- Distance (m and f)
- m is a mile and f a furlong, about 200 metres; 8 furlongs make a mile.
- Each way
- A bet that pays out if your horse wins or finishes in the top 3 (how far down it pays varies by race). It is really two bets.
- Weight
- How much the horse carries, including the jockey. 9st 5lb means nine stone five pounds.
- Jockey claim
- An apprentice jockey can claim a weight discount, so the horse carries a little less.
- Headgear
- Blinkers, visor, cheekpieces, tongue tie, hood and eyeshield change what the horse sees or feels.